The School of Odds

ETO FC Győr v Víkingur Reykjavík

2026-07-14 17:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

ETO FC Győr (Local)

Prediction 50.51%1.98fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.61%50.51%50.51%52.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.761.9058%56%57%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Víkingur Reykjavík (Visit)

Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.679%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%27.10%27.10%28.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.603.6031%29%28%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.39%4.47fair odd
EV -8.22%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.25%22.39%22.39%23.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.854.044.104.1026%25%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 19:05
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 19:05
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -9.07%E -5.04%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.81%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-10 19:09
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -11.09%E -6.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 17:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -12.10%E -6.96%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.22%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 17:43
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -12.61%E -7.29%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -12.61%E -7.29%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 18:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%7.3%2026-07-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%7.3%2026-07-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%7.3%2026-07-10 19:10