Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus v Sabah FK

2026-08-04 17:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

67%

13%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prediction 66.63%1.50fair odd

EV -6.72%

Edge -4.80%

Kelly -16.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.19%66.63%66.63%67.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.391.381.4073.53%72.20%72.20%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sabah FK (Visit)

Prediction 12.79%7.82fair odd

EV -4.10%

Edge -0.547%

Kelly -0.631%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.46%12.79%12.79%13.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.007.217.137.5014.29%13.87%14.04%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.58%4.86fair odd

EV -5.32%

Edge -1.16%

Kelly -1.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.39%20.58%20.58%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.404.484.504.6022.73%22.30%22.22%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Betr (AU)	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.79%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-30 10:00
Coolbet	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.79%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-30 10:00
SportsBet	1.39I 71.94%NM 66.64%EV -7.38%E -5.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.78%EV -7.30%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-30 10:00
FanDuel	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.05%E -5.83%K -21.18%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-30 10:04
Bet Right	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.05%E -5.83%K -21.18%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-30 10:00
Paddy Power	1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -9.38%E -6.90%K -26.06%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-30 10:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.