Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfB Stuttgart v Viking FK

2026-09-09 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prévision 73.98%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -9.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.00%74.13%74.08%76.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.261.261.3183.33%79.30%79.37%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Viking FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.58%9.45cote équitable
EV +16.39%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.269%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.86%10.47%10.50%12.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.758.959.0011.0014.81%11.18%11.11%9.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.44%6.48cote équitable
EV +4.21%
Avantage +0.624%
Kelly +0.732%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.33%15.40%15.42%17.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.206.086.226.7519.23%16.45%16.06%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : VfB Stuttgart (Local) : 73.98% ; Viking FK (Visiteur) : 10.58% ; Match nul : 15.44%. Pour Viking FK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 9.45. 11 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 11.00, pour une espérance positive de +16.39%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.71%EV -6.04%E -4.76%K -22.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV +16.39%E +1.49%K +1.64%G +0.269%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.43%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031%2.6%2026-08-29 19:41
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.09%E -2.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +5.81%E +0.581%K +0.646%G +0.038%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.78%EV -4.59%E -0.743%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.55%EV -3.83%E -2.94%K -12.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +5.81%E +0.581%K +0.646%G +0.038%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.76%EV -5.05%E -0.822%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.52%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +5.81%E +0.581%K +0.646%G +0.038%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.350%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:40
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.52%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +5.81%E +0.581%K +0.646%G +0.038%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.350%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:41
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -9.74%E -7.99%K -44.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.81%E +0.581%K +0.646%G +0.038%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.350%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -9.74%E -7.99%K -44.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.81%E +0.581%K +0.646%G +0.038%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.350%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.29%EV -7.52%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.65%EV +3.16%E +0.325%K +0.362%G +0.011%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 19:41
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.52%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.520%E +0.055%K +0.061%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.52%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.520%E +0.055%K +0.061%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 21:14
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +0.520%E +0.055%K +0.061%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -18.95%E -3.61%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 19:40
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.72%EV -4.57%E -3.54%K -15.74%G +0.000%9.41I 10.63%NM 10.11%EV -0.433%E -0.046%K -0.051%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.17%EV -9.22%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 19:41
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.32%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.95%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.34%EV -2.65%E -0.289%K -0.324%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.34%EV -4.28%E -0.691%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 19:45
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.22%EV -4.57%E -3.54%K -15.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.29%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 00:00
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.57%E -3.54%K -15.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.57%E -3.54%K -15.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.57%E -3.54%K -15.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 22:50
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -8.26%E -6.66%K -34.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.77%E -0.530%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +0.350%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 19:40
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.06%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +0.350%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -4.57%E -3.54%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.06%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.06%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.04%E -4.76%K -22.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -10.06%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -7.52%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -10.06%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.26%E -6.66%K -34.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -10.06%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 19:40
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.86%EV -9.74%E -7.99%K -44.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -10.06%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 20:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.35%EV -11.22%E -9.35%K -56.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -10.06%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.30%EV -16.63%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.42%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.39I 11.92%NM 11.20%EV -11.23%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.38%EV -5.67%E -0.928%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 01:15
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.07%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -12.71%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.07%EV -5.30%E -4.14%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -12.71%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.21%EV -8.26%E -6.66%K -34.43%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.00%EV -12.71%E -1.54%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 19:40
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.90%EV -7.52%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.11%EV -13.24%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -12.00%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 19:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.52%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -15.35%E -1.92%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 19:40
Suprabets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -15.35%E -1.92%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 23:43
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.58%EV -6.78%E -5.38%K -26.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -20.64%E -2.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -15.09%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 71.00%EV -11.22%E -9.35%K -56.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.62%EV -28.58%E -4.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.38%EV -19.72%E -3.79%K -4.70%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-29 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 70.92%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%16.5%2026-08-29 19:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 29.61%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.20%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.20%168.0%2026-08-29 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 29.61%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.20%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.20%168.0%2026-08-29 19:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 28.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.69%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.69%177.4%2026-08-29 19:40