Language:English
Real Madrid v Manchester City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Madrid (Local)
Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -0.040%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.015%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%26.60%26.65%28.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.543.7531.25%28.24%28.21%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester City (Visit)
Prediction 47.48%2.11fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.29%47.62%47.46%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.992.002.0854.64%50.14%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV +0.867%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.299%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.77%25.89%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.653.653.9031.25%27.38%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Madrid (Local): 26.66%; Manchester City (Visit): 47.48%; Draw: 25.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.867%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.040%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.867%E +0.222%K +0.299%G +0.003% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.040%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.867%E +0.222%K +0.299%G +0.003% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -1.37%E -0.371%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.427%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -1.37%E -0.371%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.427%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 18:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.33%EV -6.94%E -3.54%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.427%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%EV -3.14%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.31%EV -0.944%E -0.246%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -7.89%E -4.07%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.36%EV -1.11%E -0.298%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.94%EV -2.50%E -0.662%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%EV -1.37%E -0.371%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.36%EV -1.71%E -0.828%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.33%EV -0.840%E -0.226%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.55%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.08%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.08%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.30%EV -3.51%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -6.46%E -3.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -14.70%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 12:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.67%EV -2.97%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.36%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.96%EV -3.27%E -0.875%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -2.71%E -0.741%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90%EV -1.24%E -0.596%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.61%EV -2.71%E -0.741%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.14%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.61%EV -2.71%E -0.741%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.14%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.91%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.98%EV -3.61%E -1.78%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.90%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.37%EV -4.56%E -2.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -1.37%E -0.371%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.36%E -4.33%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 19:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -4.09%E -2.02%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.37%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -1.37%E -0.371%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 18:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 13:41 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -6.94%E -3.54%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -6.94%E -3.54%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -7.89%E -4.07%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.31%E -4.88%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-11 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.39%EV -13.11%E -7.16%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -17.24%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-11 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91% | 0.3% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |