Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Porto v Manchester City

Kickoff: 2026-09-08 19:00 UTC

Final: Porto 0–2 Manchester City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Porto (Local)

Prediction 18.40%5.43fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +0.544%
Kelly +0.662%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.36%18.42%18.45%27.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.705.095.005.6037.04%19.65%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manchester City (Visit)

Prediction 57.92%1.73fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.06%57.84%57.92%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.641.641.7072.99%61.13%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd
EV +0.180%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.056%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.51%23.75%23.63%24.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.963.954.2327.40%25.23%25.32%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Porto (Local): 18.40%; Manchester City (Visit): 57.92%; Draw: 23.68%. For Porto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.36%EV +3.05%E +0.544%K +0.662%G +0.020%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.92%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 18:25
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.81%EV +1.21%E +0.219%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.30%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-08 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75%EV +1.21%E +0.219%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.45%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75%EV +1.21%E +0.219%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.45%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75%EV +1.21%E +0.219%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.45%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75%EV +1.21%E +0.219%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.45%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 18:40
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +1.21%E +0.219%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.17%EV -2.19%E -0.530%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 18:05
1xBet🎯5.48I 18.25%NM 17.68%EV +0.839%E +0.153%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.43%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.90%EV +0.180%E +0.043%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.80%EV +0.103%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.51%EV -2.43%E -0.589%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.80%EV +0.103%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.51%EV -2.43%E -0.589%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 17:50
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -0.633%E -0.117%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 17:25
Suprabets🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -0.633%E -0.117%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.80%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 18:14
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 18.00%EV -1.55%E -0.290%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.31%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 18:40
NordicBet🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 18.00%EV -1.55%E -0.290%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.31%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -2.47%E -0.467%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.37%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -1.71%E -0.413%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 18:05
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -2.47%E -0.467%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.98%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:40
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -2.47%E -0.467%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.98%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:40
Bally Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -2.47%E -0.467%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.98%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:40
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -2.47%E -0.467%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 17:25
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.39%E -0.646%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.88%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:40
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -3.39%E -0.646%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 18:05
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -3.39%E -0.646%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 17:30
Caesars🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.39%E -0.646%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 17:33
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.39%E -0.646%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.19%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -4.31%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -4.31%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 18:40
GTbets🎯5.11I 19.57%NM 18.87%EV -5.97%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.72%EV -1.54%E -0.908%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 17:30
ReBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.79%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.15%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.15%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -5.60%E -3.43%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 18:40
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -6.15%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:39
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 15:55
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 18:55
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.90%E -0.707%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 18:30
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -0.531%E -0.126%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:50
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 17:25
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 18:45
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.34%E -4.58%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.34%E -4.58%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.91%E -4.98%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 18:55
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 17:25
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 18:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.99%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.34%E -4.58%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -9.83%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:00
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -9.83%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.38%EV -7.91%E -4.98%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 18:15
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -11.67%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.67%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 16:30
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.67%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.67%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 16:25
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.67%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -3.28%E -1.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 16:25
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -11.67%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.06%EV -9.65%E -6.19%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -13.56%E -3.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 18:40
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.59%E -2.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:00
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -15.35%E -3.34%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.64%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 18:30
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 27.43%EV -50.32%E -18.64%K -29.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 54.06%EV -20.66%E -15.08%K -55.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%35.0%2026-09-08 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%0.1%2026-09-08 18:55
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%0.1%2026-09-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-09-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-09-08 18:55
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-09-08 18:55