A Escola das Odds

Paris Saint Germain v Arsenal

Início: 2026-05-30 16:00 UTC

Final: Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Arsenal

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Previsão 39.19%2.55odd justa
EV -0.070%
Vantagem -0.027%
Kelly -0.045%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.04%39.35%39.06%41.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.422.402.5543.48%41.26%41.67%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arsenal (Visitante)

Previsão 31.67%3.16odd justa
EV +1.34%
Vantagem +0.418%
Kelly +0.608%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.49%31.51%31.78%32.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.802.993.003.2035.71%33.42%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.14%3.43odd justa
EV -0.912%
Vantagem -0.268%
Kelly -0.380%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.32%29.14%29.16%30.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.253.303.4034.72%30.76%30.30%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV +1.34%E +0.418%K +0.608%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:09
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 39.20%EV -2.03%E -0.812%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.92%EV +0.388%E +0.122%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.88%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-30 15:19
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.59%EV -6.34%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV +0.071%E +0.023%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.70%EV -1.49%E -0.442%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 15:50
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.52%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -0.245%E -0.078%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -0.912%E -0.268%K -0.380%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 15:17
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.52%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -0.245%E -0.078%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -0.912%E -0.268%K -0.380%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 15:10
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.99%EV -9.08%E -3.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -0.245%E -0.078%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 15:40
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.87%EV -0.070%E -0.027%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%EV -1.83%E -0.590%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%EV -0.912%E -0.268%K -0.380%G +0.000%0.9%2026-05-30 15:40
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.87%EV -0.070%E -0.027%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%EV -1.83%E -0.590%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%EV -0.912%E -0.268%K -0.380%G +0.000%0.9%2026-05-30 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.87%EV -0.070%E -0.027%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%EV -1.83%E -0.590%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%EV -0.912%E -0.268%K -0.380%G +0.000%0.9%2026-05-30 15:40
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.03%E -0.812%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.59%EV -1.83%E -0.590%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 15:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -1.83%E -0.590%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 15:40
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -0.462%E -0.182%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.77%EV -2.15%E -0.694%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.57%EV -3.24%E -0.977%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-30 15:50
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%EV -2.03%E -0.812%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 15:40
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%EV -2.03%E -0.812%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 15:20
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%EV -2.03%E -0.812%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 15:20
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.99%EV -2.81%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 15:40
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.99%EV -2.81%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 15:40
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -7.91%E -3.36%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 15:10
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.58%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.77%EV -3.73%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.66%EV -1.79%E -0.530%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-30 14:00
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.58%EV -0.854%E -0.337%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.88%EV -1.49%E -0.442%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 15:40
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.58%EV -0.854%E -0.337%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.88%EV -1.49%E -0.442%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 15:39
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 39.08%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.01%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 15:40
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.08%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.01%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 15:00
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.08%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.01%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 12:50
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 15:50
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 15:50
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:19
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 15:30
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -7.12%E -3.01%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 13:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -7.12%E -3.01%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 13:40
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 15:19
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 06:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 15:20
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 06:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 06:50
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 13:59
Suprabets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -2.81%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.73%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 15:29
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.58%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 13:40
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -2.03%E -0.812%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.58%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.58%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -2.37%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 15:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.58%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 13:10
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.58%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.58%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 13:10
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.99%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 15:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 13:10
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 15:20
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:40
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 15:40
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.80%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 13:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.80%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 14:19
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -8.80%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 15:40
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -7.91%E -3.36%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -7.91%E -3.36%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 15:40
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.91%E -3.36%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:50
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -9.08%E -3.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 15:40
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -9.08%E -3.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.33%E -4.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -16.07%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35%0.2%2026-05-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-05-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-05-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-05-30 15:50
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-05-30 15:50