The School of Odds
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Manchester City v AEK Athens

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 19:00 UTC

Final: Manchester City 5–1 AEK Athens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City (Local)

Prediction 82.16%1.22fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -11.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.83%82.09%82.29%84.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.151.1990.91%87.01%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AEK Athens (Visit)

Prediction 6.66%15.01fair odd
EV +23.25%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.309%

assuming max odds 18.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.17%6.69%6.50%8.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0014.4114.3818.509.09%6.94%6.96%5.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.17%8.95fair odd
EV +11.73%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.153%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.33%11.22%11.20%12.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.568.5010.0013.33%11.68%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester City (Local): 82.16%; AEK Athens (Visit): 6.66%; Draw: 11.17%. For AEK Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.01. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.65%EV -7.15%E -6.33%K -55.03%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.17%EV +23.25%E +1.26%K +1.33%G +0.309%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.18%EV +5.03%E +0.535%K +0.599%G +0.030%4.5%2026-10-20 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.28%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.43%EV +19.92%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.233%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.29%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%2.3%2026-10-20 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.28%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.43%EV +19.92%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.233%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.29%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%2.3%2026-10-20 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.28%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.43%EV +19.92%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.233%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.29%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%2.3%2026-10-20 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.79%K -36.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.39%EV +19.92%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.233%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%3.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.35%EV -7.15%E -6.33%K -55.03%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.30%EV +19.92%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.233%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.36%EV +2.80%E +0.304%K +0.341%G +0.010%4.9%2026-10-20 18:55
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.34%EV -7.15%E -6.33%K -55.03%G +0.000%17.60I 5.68%NM 5.41%EV +17.25%E +0.980%K +1.04%G +0.179%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.25%EV +3.91%E +0.421%K +0.471%G +0.018%4.9%2026-10-20 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.55%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.59%EV +16.59%E +0.948%K +1.01%G +0.167%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.86%EV +0.560%E +0.062%K +0.070%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-20 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.77%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV +13.26%E +0.780%K +0.829%G +0.110%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +0.560%E +0.062%K +0.070%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.86%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.06%EV +6.59%E +0.412%K +0.440%G +0.029%8.75I 11.43%NM 11.08%EV -2.23%E -0.255%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-20 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +6.59%E +0.412%K +0.440%G +0.029%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +0.560%E +0.062%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 18:40
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +6.59%E +0.412%K +0.440%G +0.029%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +0.560%E +0.062%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +6.59%E +0.412%K +0.440%G +0.029%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +0.560%E +0.062%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +6.59%E +0.412%K +0.440%G +0.029%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +0.560%E +0.062%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 18:40
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.06%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%15.20I 6.58%NM 6.34%EV +1.26%E +0.083%K +0.089%G +0.001%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.60%EV +1.57%E +0.172%K +0.194%G +0.003%3.8%2026-10-20 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.26%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-20 18:50
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.70%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.40%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.90%EV -1.67%E -0.190%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.49%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.13%EV -3.91%E -0.455%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-20 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.39%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.03%EV -5.51%E -4.79%K -36.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +0.560%E +0.062%K +0.070%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.61%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%4.9%2026-10-20 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.61%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%4.9%2026-10-20 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 18:30
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 18:29
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.85%EV -7.98%E -7.12%K -66.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.89%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%6.5%2026-10-20 18:50
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.15%E -6.33%K -55.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.51%E -4.79%K -36.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -0.067%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.28%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.55%EV -1.73%E -0.117%K -0.126%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.17%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%3.5%2026-10-20 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.28%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.55%EV -1.73%E -0.117%K -0.126%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.17%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%3.5%2026-10-20 18:15
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.28%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.55%EV -1.73%E -0.117%K -0.126%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.17%EV +6.15%E +0.647%K +0.723%G +0.044%3.5%2026-10-20 18:15
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.61%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -6.73%E -0.481%K -0.518%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV -7.82%E -0.948%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -6.73%E -0.481%K -0.518%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 18:30
picklebet_au🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.14%EV -5.51%E -4.79%K -36.74%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -6.73%E -0.481%K -0.518%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.13%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV -6.73%E -0.481%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.27%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -6.73%E -0.481%K -0.518%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.01%EV -8.80%E -7.93%K -79.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -6.73%E -0.481%K -0.518%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +11.73%E +1.17%K +1.30%G +0.153%7.2%2026-10-20 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -6.73%E -0.481%K -0.518%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.52%EV -7.98%E -7.12%K -66.47%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -6.73%E -0.481%K -0.518%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.06%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.93%EV -10.06%E -0.745%K -0.805%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:55
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.64%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%13.28I 7.53%NM 7.19%EV -11.53%E -0.868%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.17%EV -4.47%E -0.523%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 18:30
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-20 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-20 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -5.51%E -4.79%K -36.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:40
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:25
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:25
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.85%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-20 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -4.69%E -4.04%K -29.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-20 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -6.33%E -5.55%K -45.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.84%EV -7.98%E -7.12%K -66.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -7.82%E -0.948%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -7.98%E -7.12%K -66.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:35
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.80%E -7.93%K -79.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:55
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -9.62%E -8.74%K -96.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -13.39%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.50%EV -2.22%E -1.87%K -11.71%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.61%EV -15.06%E -1.18%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.90%EV -0.557%E -0.063%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-20 18:15
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -20.05%E -1.67%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.65%EV -7.15%E -6.33%K -55.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -20.05%E -1.67%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.76%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-20 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -8.80%E -7.93%K -79.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -20.05%E -1.67%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.89%EV -9.62%E -8.74%K -96.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -20.05%E -1.67%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -5.03%E -0.591%K -0.670%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-20 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.28%EV -3.05%E -2.58%K -16.92%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV -23.39%E -2.03%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -7.82%E -0.948%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -26.72%E -2.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -26.72%E -2.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:55
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -3.87%E -3.31%K -22.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -26.72%E -2.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -10.61%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.00%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47%0.5%2026-10-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.00%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47%0.5%2026-10-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.00%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47%0.5%2026-10-20 18:55
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.24%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-10-20 18:55
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.71%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.46%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.8%2026-10-20 18:55