L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Feyenoord v Porto

2026-11-24 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Feyenoord (Local)

Prévision 33.09%3.02cote équitable
EV +0.937%
Avantage +0.307%
Kelly +0.457%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.97%33.08%33.10%33.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.862.873.0537.74%34.98%34.84%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Porto (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.65%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.878%
Avantage -0.369%
Kelly -0.637%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.96%41.68%41.67%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.242.252.3851.02%44.57%44.44%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.26%3.96cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.258%
Kelly +0.344%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.98%25.24%25.23%26.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.704.0029.41%27.12%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Feyenoord (Local) : 33.09% ; Porto (Visiteur) : 41.65% ; Match nul : 25.26%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.96. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.00, pour une espérance positive de +1.03%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%EV +0.937%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.07%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-05 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%EV +0.937%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.07%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-05 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%EV +0.937%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.07%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-05 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%EV +0.937%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.07%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-05 07:55
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.690%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.37%EV -0.878%E -0.369%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.37%EV -2.00%E -0.515%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.6%2026-11-05 07:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 08:35
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.04%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 07:50
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.04%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 07:55
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.04%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 07:55
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -3.37%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.98%EV -2.13%E -0.905%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-05 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-05 07:51
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-05 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.30%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.33%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -4.52%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 07:50
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.53%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 07:50
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 07:54
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-05 11:54
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-05 07:55
GTbets🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.21%EV -5.02%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.17%EV -5.88%E -2.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.63%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-05 07:54
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.98%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +1.03%E +0.258%K +0.344%G +0.004%3.6%2026-11-05 12:38
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-05 07:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 07:55
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.37%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-05 07:54
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-05 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-05 07:50
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-05 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.37%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-05 08:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-05 08:10
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-05 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.31%EV -10.04%E -4.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-05 07:55
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-05 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.97%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.05%EV -18.37%E -9.37%K -19.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-05 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 32.74%EV -11.31%E -4.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.19%EV -13.37%E -6.43%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-05 08:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.96%EV -11.64%E -4.36%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-05 08:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -12.30%E -4.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-05 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%16.4%2026-11-05 08:10
Arbitrage (4 combinaisons) +0.20%ATG (SE) 3.05 (32.9%) / 1xBet 2.38 (42.1%) / Coolbet 4.00 (25.0%)Afficher les 4 combinaisons
Feyenoord (Local)Porto (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.9%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.197%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.9%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.197%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.9%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.197%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.9%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.197%