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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Feyenoord v Porto

2026-11-24 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Feyenoord (Local)

Predicción 33.09%3.02momio equitativo
EV +0.937%
Ventaja +0.307%
Kelly +0.457%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.97%33.08%33.10%33.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.862.873.0537.74%34.98%34.84%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Porto (Visitante)

Predicción 41.65%2.40momio equitativo
EV -0.878%
Ventaja -0.369%
Kelly -0.637%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.96%41.68%41.67%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.242.252.3851.02%44.57%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.26%3.96momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.258%
Kelly +0.344%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.98%25.24%25.23%26.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.704.0029.41%27.12%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Feyenoord (Local): 33.09%; Porto (Visitante): 41.65%; Empate: 25.26%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.96. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.03%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%EV +0.937%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.07%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-05 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%EV +0.937%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.07%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-05 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%EV +0.937%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.07%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-05 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%EV +0.937%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.07%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-05 07:55
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.690%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.37%EV -0.878%E -0.369%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.37%EV -2.00%E -0.515%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.6%2026-11-05 07:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 08:35
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.04%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 07:50
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.04%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 07:55
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.04%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 07:55
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -3.37%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.98%EV -2.13%E -0.905%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-05 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-05 07:51
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-05 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.30%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.33%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -4.52%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 07:50
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.53%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 07:50
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 07:54
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-05 11:54
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-05 07:55
GTbets🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.21%EV -5.02%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.17%EV -5.88%E -2.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.63%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-05 07:54
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.98%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +1.03%E +0.258%K +0.344%G +0.004%3.6%2026-11-05 12:38
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-05 07:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 07:55
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.37%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-05 07:54
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-05 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-05 07:50
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-05 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.37%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-05 08:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-05 08:10
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-05 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.31%EV -10.04%E -4.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-05 07:55
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-05 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.97%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.05%EV -18.37%E -9.37%K -19.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-05 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 32.74%EV -11.31%E -4.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.19%EV -13.37%E -6.43%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-05 08:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.96%EV -11.64%E -4.36%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-05 08:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -12.30%E -4.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-05 10:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%16.4%2026-11-05 08:10
Arbitraje (4 combinaciones) +0.20%ATG (SE) 3.05 (32.9%) / 1xBet 2.38 (42.1%) / Coolbet 4.00 (25.0%)Ver las 4 combinaciones
Feyenoord (Local)Porto (Visitante)EmpateMargen
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.9%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.197%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.9%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.197%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.9%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.197%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.9%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.1%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.197%