L’École des cotes

Bodø/Glimt v Sporting Lisbon

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 35.66%2.80cote équitable
EV +0.215%
Avantage +0.077%
Kelly +0.119%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.33%35.69%35.68%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.612.602.8140.82%38.32%38.46%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sporting Lisbon (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.16%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.781%
Avantage -0.300%
Kelly -0.488%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.44%38.14%38.18%40.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.262.472.472.6044.25%40.57%40.49%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV +0.774%
Avantage +0.201%
Kelly +0.272%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.17%26.15%27.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.603.8532.26%27.78%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.64%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.774%E +0.201%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.64%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.774%E +0.201%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.2%2026-02-27 13:50
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.64%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.774%E +0.201%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.64%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.774%E +0.201%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:49
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.70%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.25%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 18:39
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.70%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.25%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 18:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:04
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.36%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:29
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.65%EV -1.93%E -0.749%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.51%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 14:59
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.59%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 14:44
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 20:24
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 20:44
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 20:44
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.85%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 13:49
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 35.05%EV +0.215%E +0.077%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.89%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.06%EV -4.72%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.5%2026-02-27 15:04
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 12:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 12:54
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 14:04
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 14:04
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 16:09
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 20:24
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.33%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.26%EV -13.76%E -6.09%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.41%EV -6.29%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 14:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.83%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.83%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 15:29
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 14:39
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 13:49
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 13:49
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.15%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.95%EV -4.22%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.91%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 15:29
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 13:49
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 13:49
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.20%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 12:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 12:54
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:29
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:29
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.32%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 18:39
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 12:54
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.32%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 13:48
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 14:59
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 14:45
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -18.86%E -6.08%K -8.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-27 12:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%5.6%2026-02-27 15:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%5.6%2026-02-27 14:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%5.6%2026-02-27 15:00
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%6.9%2026-02-27 15:30