La escuela de los momios

Bodø/Glimt v Sporting Lisbon

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Predicción 35.66%2.80momio equitativo
EV +0.215%
Ventaja +0.077%
Kelly +0.119%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.33%35.69%35.68%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.612.602.8140.82%38.32%38.46%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sporting Lisbon (Visitante)

Predicción 38.16%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.781%
Ventaja -0.300%
Kelly -0.488%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.44%38.14%38.18%40.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.262.472.472.6044.25%40.57%40.49%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV +0.774%
Ventaja +0.201%
Kelly +0.272%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%26.17%26.15%27.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.603.8532.26%27.78%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.64%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.774%E +0.201%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.64%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.774%E +0.201%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.2%2026-02-27 13:50
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.64%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.774%E +0.201%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.93%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.64%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.774%E +0.201%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:49
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.70%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.25%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 18:39
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.70%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.25%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 18:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:04
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.36%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:29
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.65%EV -1.93%E -0.749%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.51%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 14:59
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.59%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 14:44
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 20:24
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 20:44
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 20:44
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.85%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 13:49
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 35.05%EV +0.215%E +0.077%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.89%EV -0.781%E -0.300%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.06%EV -4.72%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.5%2026-02-27 15:04
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 12:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 12:54
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 14:04
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 14:04
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 16:09
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 20:24
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.33%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.26%EV -13.76%E -6.09%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.41%EV -6.29%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 14:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.83%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.83%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 15:29
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 14:39
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 13:49
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 13:49
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.15%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.95%EV -4.22%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.91%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.49%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 15:29
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 13:49
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 13:49
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.20%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 12:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 12:54
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:29
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:29
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.32%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 18:39
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 12:54
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.32%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 13:48
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.27%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 14:59
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 14:45
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -12.62%E -5.15%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -10.84%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -18.86%E -6.08%K -8.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-27 12:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%5.6%2026-02-27 15:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%5.6%2026-02-27 14:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%5.6%2026-02-27 15:00
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%6.9%2026-02-27 15:30