The School of Odds
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AEK Athens v Real Madrid

Kickoff: 2026-11-04 17:45 UTC

Final: AEK Athens 2–3 Real Madrid

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens (Local)

Prediction 7.62%13.12fair odd
EV +6.73%
Edge +0.481%
Kelly +0.518%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.89%7.82%7.57%11.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0011.9612.0014.0012.50%8.36%8.33%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Madrid (Visit)

Prediction 79.98%1.25fair odd
EV +0.778%
Edge +0.617%
Kelly +2.99%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.00%79.73%80.09%81.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.191.191.2688.50%84.16%84.03%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.39%8.07fair odd
EV +14.64%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.260%

assuming max odds 9.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.44%12.45%12.34%14.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.497.509.2515.38%13.35%13.33%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Athens (Local): 7.62%; Real Madrid (Visit): 79.98%; Draw: 12.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.07. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV -12.33%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.16%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.44%EV +14.64%E +1.58%K +1.77%G +0.260%3.5%2026-11-04 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.21%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.74%EV +11.55%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.167%3.5%2026-11-04 17:40
Sky Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV +5.35%E +0.629%K +0.713%G +0.038%5.6%2026-11-04 17:18
SportsBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -16.14%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV +5.35%E +0.629%K +0.713%G +0.038%5.6%2026-11-04 17:40
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -16.14%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.39%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +5.35%E +0.629%K +0.713%G +0.038%6.3%2026-11-04 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -16.14%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.39%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +5.35%E +0.629%K +0.713%G +0.038%6.3%2026-11-04 17:40
Pinnacle🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.16%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.25%E +0.273%K +0.310%G +0.007%3.1%2026-11-04 17:40
Coolbet🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.24%EV +2.92%E +0.216%K +0.234%G +0.007%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.77%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.34%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.99%EV +1.01%E +0.124%K +0.141%G +0.001%2.3%2026-11-04 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 7.03%EV +6.73%E +0.481%K +0.518%G +0.035%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.67%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%1.6%2026-11-04 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 7.03%EV +6.73%E +0.481%K +0.518%G +0.035%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.67%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%1.6%2026-11-04 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.98%EV +6.73%E +0.481%K +0.518%G +0.035%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.80%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%2.3%2026-11-04 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.98%EV +6.73%E +0.481%K +0.518%G +0.035%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.80%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%2.3%2026-11-04 17:35
theScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.50%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-04 17:35
NordicBet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV +6.73%E +0.481%K +0.518%G +0.035%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-04 17:40
DraftKings🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 17:40
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -23.76%E -2.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.74%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 17:35
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -16.14%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.70%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.849%E -0.106%K -0.121%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 17:40
BetAnything🎯11.40I 8.77%NM 8.38%EV -13.09%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.57%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.06%EV -1.84%E -0.232%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 17:40
BetUS🎯12.65I 7.91%NM 7.56%EV -3.56%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.34%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.10%EV -2.09%E -0.264%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-04 17:35
Betsson🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.06%EV +2.92%E +0.216%K +0.234%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.73%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.21%EV -3.33%E -0.427%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 17:40
Bovada🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -3.95%E -0.509%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 17:19
PlayUp🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.96%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -3.95%E -0.509%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -27.57%E -2.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.63%EV -7.22%E -6.22%K -45.13%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -3.95%E -0.509%K -0.585%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-04 17:40
ReBet🎯12.25I 8.16%NM 7.86%EV -6.61%E -0.540%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.62%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.51%EV -4.57%E -0.593%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-04 17:35
Fliff🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -12.33%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.06%EV -8.82%E -7.74%K -63.00%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.01%EV -5.81%E -0.764%K -0.880%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-04 17:40
1xBet🎯12.90I 7.75%NM 7.48%EV -1.65%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.75%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.76%EV -6.30%E -0.834%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯13.75I 7.27%NM 7.04%EV +4.83%E +0.351%K +0.379%G +0.018%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.04%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-04 17:20
Unibet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-04 17:35
BetRivers🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-04 17:35
Bally Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-04 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-04 17:29
picklebet_au🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -12.33%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.09%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-04 17:35
Fanatics🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-04 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-04 17:40
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -23.76%E -2.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-04 17:30
BetMGM🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -23.76%E -2.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-04 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -27.57%E -2.90%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.03%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -9.62%E -8.51%K -74.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -7.05%E -0.939%K -1.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-04 17:15
NetBet (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -4.70%E -0.376%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.10%EV -8.82%E -7.74%K -63.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -10.14%E -1.40%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-04 17:40
GTbets🎯12.22I 8.18%NM 7.92%EV -6.84%E -0.560%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.66%EV -1.62%E -1.32%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.42%EV -10.64%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-04 17:09
Codere (IT)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.24%EV -10.76%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 17:10
betfred_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -4.70%E -0.376%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.04%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-04 17:35
Grosvenor🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-04 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-04 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-04 17:35
betPARX🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 17:35
888sport🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 17:31
William Hill🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 17:30
TAB🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 17:35
BoyleSports🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -12.33%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.67%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-04 17:35
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.14%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-04 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -16.14%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.10%EV -9.62%E -8.51%K -74.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.24%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-04 17:19
Bet Right🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -8.52%E -0.710%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -16.34%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-04 17:10
TABtouch🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV -12.33%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.28%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -16.34%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-04 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -39.01%E -4.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.00%EV +0.778%E +0.617%K +2.99%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -19.44%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-04 17:15
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -39.01%E -4.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.00%EV +0.778%E +0.617%K +2.99%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -19.44%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-04 17:15
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -0.891%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -19.44%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-04 17:30
Casumo🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -16.14%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -7.22%E -6.22%K -45.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -19.44%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-04 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -16.14%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -7.22%E -6.22%K -45.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -19.44%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-04 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.20%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%0.5%2026-11-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.47%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%0.6%2026-11-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.95%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-11-04 17:40
Smarkets◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.89%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%0.9%2026-11-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.78%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.31%1.1%2026-11-04 17:40

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