Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trabzonspor v Genclerbirligi SK

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 17:00 UTC

Final: Trabzonspor 5–0 Genclerbirligi SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prediction 65.80%1.52fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -8.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.72%65.80%66.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.421.4674.63%70.44%70.42%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Genclerbirligi SK (Visit)

Prediction 14.07%7.11fair odd
EV +3.28%
Edge +0.446%
Kelly +0.517%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 7.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.83%14.07%14.11%15.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.536.507.3416.67%15.31%15.38%13.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.13%4.97fair odd
EV +3.45%
Edge +0.670%
Kelly +0.832%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 5.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.91%20.21%20.09%21.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.554.505.1423.81%21.96%22.22%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trabzonspor (Local): 65.80%; Genclerbirligi SK (Visit): 14.07%; Draw: 20.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.58%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.51%EV -5.73%E -0.855%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.91%EV +3.45%E +0.670%K +0.832%G +0.029%2.9%2026-09-06 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV -4.32%E -0.635%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -1.38%E -0.283%K -0.355%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.44%EV +0.604%E +0.084%K +0.098%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.82%EV -2.39%E -0.493%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.44%EV +0.604%E +0.084%K +0.098%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.82%EV -2.39%E -0.493%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:15
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.44%EV +0.604%E +0.084%K +0.098%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.82%EV -2.39%E -0.493%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:15
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -1.51%E -0.215%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -3.40%E -0.708%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.40%E -0.708%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -3.40%E -0.708%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -15.58%E -2.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -3.40%E -0.708%K -0.894%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.81%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.11%EV +3.28%E +0.446%K +0.517%G +0.017%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.08%EV -3.60%E -0.751%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -1.51%E -0.215%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.40%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:51
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.51%E -0.215%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -4.40%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 16:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -4.40%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:55
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -12.06%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.40%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -12.06%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.40%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.40%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:05
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.83%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.14%EV -6.29%E -0.945%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 16:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.36%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.87%EV -5.73%E -0.855%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.80%EV -9.85%E -7.19%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -15.58%E -2.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -1.51%E -0.215%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -6.42%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -11.82%E -8.82%K -34.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.98%EV -9.95%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -6.42%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:30
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:30
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.51%E -0.215%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -15.58%E -2.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 16:45
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.54%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -5.02%E -0.744%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -10.44%E -2.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -15.58%E -2.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -12.06%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -15.58%E -2.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.86%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -12.86%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.51%E -7.73%K -29.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.86%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.51%E -7.73%K -29.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.86%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.72%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 12.83%EV +1.59%E +0.220%K +0.255%G +0.004%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.45%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.72%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 12.83%EV +1.59%E +0.220%K +0.255%G +0.004%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.45%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.85%E -7.19%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.35%EV -12.76%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.46%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -14.17%E -2.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -14.47%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -14.17%E -2.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -14.47%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.82%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -14.17%E -2.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -15.47%E -3.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -12.06%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -15.47%E -3.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.58%E -2.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -15.47%E -3.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.58%E -2.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -15.47%E -3.68%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 67.10%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%0.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.88%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-09-06 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-09-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.60%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-09-06 16:55
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-09-06 16:20
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-09-06 16:55