The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Trabzonspor v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 12:59 UTC

Final: Trabzonspor 2–0 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prediction 75.58%1.32fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -3.78%
Kelly -18.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.50%75.49%75.60%77.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2684.75%81.67%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit)

Prediction 9.90%10.10fair odd
EV +8.95%
Edge +0.814%
Kelly +0.895%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.70%10.00%9.95%12.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.259.429.5011.0013.79%10.62%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.51%6.89fair odd
EV +10.60%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.170%

assuming max odds 7.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.64%14.51%14.45%16.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.316.227.6218.18%15.86%16.06%13.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trabzonspor (Local): 75.58%; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit): 9.90%; Draw: 14.51%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.07%EV -5.52%E -4.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 10.28%EV -7.19%E -0.768%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.64%EV +10.60%E +1.39%K +1.60%G +0.170%3.8%2026-11-01 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -5.52%E -4.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV +1.60%E +0.228%K +0.266%G +0.004%5.4%2026-11-01 12:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -5.52%E -4.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV +1.60%E +0.228%K +0.266%G +0.004%5.4%2026-11-01 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.91%EV -4.77%E -3.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.14%EV +4.99%E +0.471%K +0.520%G +0.026%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.94%EV +0.873%E +0.126%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.2%2026-11-01 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.96%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.31%EV +1.52%E +0.149%K +0.165%G +0.003%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.73%EV +0.873%E +0.126%K +0.147%G +0.001%4.8%2026-11-01 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.96%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.31%EV +1.52%E +0.149%K +0.165%G +0.003%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.73%EV +0.873%E +0.126%K +0.147%G +0.001%4.8%2026-11-01 11:30
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.96%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.31%EV +1.52%E +0.149%K +0.165%G +0.003%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.73%EV +0.873%E +0.126%K +0.147%G +0.001%4.8%2026-11-01 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.13%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +8.95%E +0.814%K +0.895%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.17%EV -2.03%E -0.301%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 11:54
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -15.81%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.03%E -0.301%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -15.81%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.03%E -0.301%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.31%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV -2.76%E -0.411%K -0.483%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 12:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.96%EV -4.77%E -3.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.73%EV -12.84%E -1.46%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -4.21%E -0.637%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 12:50
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.01%EV -8.55%E -7.06%K -40.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV +4.00%E +0.381%K +0.421%G +0.017%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -4.21%E -0.637%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 10:50
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.11%EV -9.30%E -7.75%K -46.51%G +0.000%10.48I 9.54%NM 8.83%EV +3.80%E +0.363%K +0.401%G +0.015%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.06%EV -4.50%E -0.684%K -0.806%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 10:50
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.91%EV -4.77%E -3.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%8.84I 11.31%NM 10.68%EV -12.44%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.41%EV -4.93%E -0.753%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.52%E -4.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.66%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -5.52%E -4.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -5.66%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.66%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.50%EV -8.55%E -7.06%K -40.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.66%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 12:49
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.66%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.19%EV -7.03%E -5.72%K -30.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -23.24%E -3.00%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.66%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +4.00%E +0.381%K +0.421%G +0.017%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -7.11%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +4.00%E +0.381%K +0.421%G +0.017%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.77%EV -7.11%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -9.29%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 11:55
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.03%E -5.72%K -30.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -9.29%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.34%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -28.19%E -3.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -9.29%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.06%K -26.16%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.00%EV -7.89%E -0.848%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.00%EV -10.01%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 10:54
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -11.46%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -11.46%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -11.46%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -11.46%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -11.46%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:40
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -11.46%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:40
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -0.954%E -0.095%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -11.46%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:45
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +4.00%E +0.381%K +0.421%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 11:55
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -8.55%E -7.06%K -40.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -8.55%E -7.06%K -40.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -8.55%E -7.06%K -40.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -7.79%E -6.39%K -35.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -15.81%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -9.30%E -7.75%K -46.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -12.92%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -8.55%E -7.06%K -40.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.47%EV -23.24%E -3.00%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.07%EV -14.37%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -10.06%E -8.45%K -52.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -15.82%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.50%EV -10.81%E -9.16%K -60.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -15.81%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -15.82%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-01 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -9.30%E -7.75%K -46.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -10.86%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.54%E -2.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 12:55
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.30%E -7.75%K -46.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -20.17%E -3.67%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.30%E -7.75%K -46.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.91%E -0.622%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -20.17%E -3.67%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 72.50%EV -10.06%E -8.45%K -52.94%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 11.82%EV -27.70%E -3.79%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.69%EV -20.17%E -3.67%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-01 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%0.6%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.23%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-11-01 12:55
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%3.0%2026-11-01 12:55

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