Language:English
Trabzonspor v Fatih Karagümrük
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Trabzonspor (Local)
Prediction 64.95%1.54fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.02%65.06%64.88%68.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.411.421.5178.13%71.12%70.42%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fatih Karagümrük (Visit)
Prediction 14.56%6.87fair odd
EV +16.46%
Edge +2.06%
Kelly +2.35%
Growth +0.387%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.61%14.39%14.52%16.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.736.508.0017.86%14.86%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.49%4.88fair odd
EV -0.630%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.164%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.50%20.55%20.59%23.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.524.564.8526.67%22.10%21.91%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trabzonspor (Local): 64.95%; Fatih Karagümrük (Visit): 14.56%; Draw: 20.49%. For Fatih Karagümrük (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.87. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -11.66%E -8.58%K -32.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.65%E -0.345%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -11.66%E -8.58%K -32.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.65%E -0.345%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -12.31%E -9.12%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +16.46%E +2.06%K +2.35%G +0.387% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -14.26%E -10.80%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +9.18%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.130% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -14.26%E -10.80%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +9.18%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.130% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -14.26%E -10.80%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +9.18%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.130% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.85%EV -6.47%E -4.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +5.54%E +0.764%K +0.887%G +0.049% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.61%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.60%EV +3.21%E +0.453%K +0.527%G +0.017% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV -4.93%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.24%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +1.90%E +0.272%K +0.317%G +0.006% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.94%EV -0.630%E -0.130%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.24%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +1.90%E +0.272%K +0.317%G +0.006% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.94%EV -0.630%E -0.130%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.77%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.90%E +0.272%K +0.317%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV +1.90%E +0.272%K +0.317%G +0.006% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -12.92%E -3.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.28%EV -1.92%E -1.27%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.71%EV -3.92%E -0.594%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 21.01%EV -5.34%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.77%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.38%E -0.827%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.68%E -0.564%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.47%E -4.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.38%E -0.827%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.77%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.38%E -0.827%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.77%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.38%E -0.827%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.70%E -0.788%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.57%EV -7.12%E -4.98%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -5.38%E -0.827%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -10.87%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.57%EV -7.12%E -4.98%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -5.38%E -0.827%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -10.87%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.38%E -0.827%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.66%E -8.58%K -32.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -5.38%E -0.827%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -23.17%E -6.18%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-27 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -6.47%E -4.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -6.54%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -9.03%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -6.47%E -4.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -6.54%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -9.03%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.70%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -6.83%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -7.56%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.04%EV -8.73%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.82%EV -7.19%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.46%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -11.20%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.87%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -11.20%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.87%E -2.61%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.87%E -2.61%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -6.47%E -4.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.28%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.47%E -4.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.47%E -4.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.47%E -4.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.42%EV -8.83%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 16:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.95%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -11.66%E -8.58%K -32.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -9.85%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.87%E -2.61%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.87%E -2.61%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.24%EV -16.86%E -13.17%K -60.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.40%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.37%EV -16.00%E -3.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.19%EV -7.77%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -17.02%E -2.99%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -5.75%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.31%EV -11.66%E -8.58%K -32.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.35%EV -17.02%E -2.99%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -11.90%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.06%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -18.48%E -3.30%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -7.80%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.60% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.69% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 16:30 |