Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trabzonspor v Besiktas JK

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 17:00 UTC

Final: Trabzonspor 2–0 Besiktas JK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.60%36.53%36.33%37.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.502.6942.55%39.55%40.00%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Besiktas JK (Visit)

Prediction 39.02%2.56fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.701%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.77%38.90%39.02%39.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.402.6144.44%41.37%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.59%4.07fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.550%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%24.58%24.65%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.0029.41%26.83%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trabzonspor (Local): 36.40%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 39.02%; Draw: 24.59%. For Besiktas JK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.78%EV -7.55%E -2.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.77%EV +1.83%E +0.701%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.45%EV -7.31%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-19 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:50
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:50
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.511%E -0.200%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -2.46%E -0.985%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-19 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.34%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.47%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -3.13%E -0.793%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-19 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.34%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.47%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -3.13%E -0.793%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-19 16:15
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.34%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.47%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -3.13%E -0.793%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-19 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.01%EV -2.09%E -0.777%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.53%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.46%EV -2.63%E -0.665%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-19 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.75%EV -4.80%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 16:15
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.25%EV -6.82%E -2.67%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.19%EV -5.19%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.56%EV -10.75%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 16:35
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -5.19%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -1.65%E -0.413%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 16:35
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-19 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-19 16:50
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-19 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -7.91%E -3.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.91%EV -6.75%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.34%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 16:31
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.03%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 16:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -16.40%E -4.82%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-19 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.10%EV -7.53%E -3.18%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.25%EV -9.76%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-19 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-19 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-19 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.88%EV -11.92%E -4.93%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 16:30
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.92%EV -6.46%E -2.51%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.46%EV -8.70%E -3.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-19 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.08%EV -8.28%E -3.29%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02%EV -9.09%E -3.90%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -10.26%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:34
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 16:54
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -13.37%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-19 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-19 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.72%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-19 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.02%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-10-19 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.02%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-10-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.07%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-19 16:55
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-10-19 16:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-10-19 16:30