Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Torku Konyaspor v Çaykur Rizespor

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC

Final: Torku Konyaspor 0–1 Çaykur Rizespor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Torku Konyaspor (Local)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.26%39.38%39.26%40.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.57%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Çaykur Rizespor (Visit)

Prediction 31.39%3.19fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.94%31.43%31.37%32.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.972.953.1036.36%33.72%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.26%3.42fair odd
EV -0.516%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.215%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.43%29.19%29.37%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.103.4034.48%31.76%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Torku Konyaspor (Local): 39.35%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visit): 31.39%; Draw: 29.26%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.516%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.29%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -3.96%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -3.73%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 15:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.51%EV -5.49%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.51%EV -5.49%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 10:34
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.51%EV -5.49%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 10:29
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.08%EV -4.76%E -1.97%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.39%EV -3.02%E -0.976%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -0.516%E -0.152%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 15:54
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.22%EV -2.27%E -0.680%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 00:54
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -5.21%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -9.88%E -3.21%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 15:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.48%EV -9.92%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 15:45
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 15:48
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.83%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -1.98%E -0.591%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.04%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.58%EV -8.04%E -2.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.04%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.58%EV -8.04%E -2.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 15:53
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -0.516%E -0.152%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:55
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:20
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:19
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:19
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:19
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:20
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -8.31%E -3.56%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.62%EV -10.17%E -3.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 15:43
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 15:45
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -13.69%E -4.98%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 17:44
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.27%E -4.51%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.27%E -4.51%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 15:19
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -10.27%E -4.51%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -13.68%E -4.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.04%EV -10.67%E -4.70%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.42%EV -11.49%E -4.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.45%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.45%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -13.69%E -4.98%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -12.24%E -5.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -15.15%E -5.22%K -7.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -12.24%E -5.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -15.15%E -5.22%K -7.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -13.42%E -6.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00%-0.1%2026-08-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-15 15:55
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-15 15:55
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%1.5%2026-08-15 15:55

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