Language:English
Samsunspor v Trabzonspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Samsunspor (Local)
Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -0.716%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%27.55%27.51%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.393.6033.33%29.86%29.50%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Trabzonspor (Visit)
Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.14%46.67%46.62%47.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0654.64%50.57%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV -0.609%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.214%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.82%25.78%25.87%26.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.633.8530.30%27.85%27.59%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsunspor (Local): 27.58%; Trabzonspor (Visit): 46.61%; Draw: 25.82%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.609%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.716%E -0.199%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.19%E -4.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:06 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.56%EV -2.92%E -0.830%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.10%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.33%EV -1.13%E -0.294%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-28 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -3.20%E -0.911%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.41%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.71%EV -5.26%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.47%E -0.993%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.45%EV -4.30%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.45%EV -4.30%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -4.58%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.42%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-28 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -0.609%E -0.158%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.52%EV -6.32%E -3.15%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.15%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.69%EV -10.42%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.52%EV -6.78%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -8.19%E -4.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -5.00%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 03:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.91%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 05:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 01:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 05:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 05:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 05:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -9.59%E -4.94%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -9.59%E -4.94%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -10.05%E -5.21%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -10.05%E -5.21%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-30 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 06:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.71%EV -10.52%E -5.48%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -12.74%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.39%EV -14.71%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.26%E -5.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-27 05:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -17.26%E -5.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.06%EV -14.25%E -7.74%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.68%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.24% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |