Szkoła Kursów

Samsunspor v Kayserispor

Początek: 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Samsunspor (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 47.84%2.09kurs godziwy
EV -2.41%
Przewaga -1.18%
Kelly -2.32%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.04

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.20%47.88%47.85%49.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.761.931.932.0456.82%51.92%51.81%49.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kayserispor (Goście)

Prognoza 24.56%4.07kurs godziwy
EV +4.40%
Przewaga +1.04%
Kelly +1.35%
Wzrost +0.060%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.46%24.54%24.64%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.753.744.2530.30%26.68%26.74%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.60%3.62kurs godziwy
EV -1.75%
Przewaga -0.490%
Kelly -0.682%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.67%27.57%27.51%28.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.953.353.383.5633.90%29.86%29.59%28.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV +4.40%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 16:35
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV +4.40%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 16:35
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.76%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.49%EV +0.960%E +0.234%K +0.309%G +0.003%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.74%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 16:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -1.74%E -0.435%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -9.11%E -4.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -1.74%E -0.435%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:25
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.94%EV -4.81%E -2.42%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -3.95%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:30
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:30
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:50
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:50
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:55
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.10%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.29%EV -1.75%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 16:55
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.58%EV -6.24%E -3.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -5.18%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:55
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:55
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 16:30
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.40%E -0.972%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 16:15
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.40%E -0.972%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 16:15
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 16:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.85%EV -8.13%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.49%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:45
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.85%EV -8.13%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.49%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:45
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:45
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:15
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:15
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:15
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:15
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.06%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.40%E -0.972%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:49
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:15
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:15
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.44%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.80%E -3.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.04%EV -12.94%E -7.11%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -12.80%E -3.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 16:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.40%E -0.972%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 16:50
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.24%E -3.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.07%E -5.36%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 16:30
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.47%EV -15.81%E -8.98%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.21%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.32%EV -18.58%E -6.30%K -9.53%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -12.46%E -6.81%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -18.94%E -5.74%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -17.20%E -5.73%K -8.60%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-15 16:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.01%0.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-03-15 16:55