La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Samsunspor v Kayserispor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Samsunspor (Local)
Predicción 47.84%2.09momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.20%47.88%47.85%49.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.931.932.0456.82%51.92%51.81%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kayserispor (Visitante)
Predicción 24.56%4.07momio equitativo
EV +4.40%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.060%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.46%24.54%24.64%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.753.744.2530.30%26.68%26.74%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.60%3.62momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.57%27.51%28.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.353.383.5633.90%29.86%29.59%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV +4.40%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV +4.40%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.76%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.49%EV +0.960%E +0.234%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.74%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -1.74%E -0.435%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -9.11%E -4.80%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -1.74%E -0.435%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| GTbets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.94%EV -4.81%E -2.42%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -3.95%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.10%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.29%EV -1.75%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.58%EV -6.24%E -3.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -5.18%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.40%E -0.972%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.40%E -0.972%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.85%EV -8.13%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.49%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66%EV -6.72%E -3.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.85%EV -8.13%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.49%EV -6.71%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -7.68%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -4.78%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.06%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.29%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.40%E -0.972%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 16:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -10.55%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.44%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -8.16%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.80%E -3.60%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.04%EV -12.94%E -7.11%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -12.80%E -3.60%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.40%E -0.972%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.24%E -3.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.07%E -5.36%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 47.47%EV -15.81%E -8.98%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.21%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.32%EV -18.58%E -6.30%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -12.46%E -6.81%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -18.94%E -5.74%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -17.20%E -5.73%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.01% | 0.0% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |