L’École des cotes

Samsunspor v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 17:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Samsunspor (Local)

Prévision 48.89%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.21%49.05%48.89%52.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.861.861.9758.14%53.78%53.76%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.27%4.30cote équitable
EV +0.046%
Avantage +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.73%23.20%23.30%24.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.014.044.3027.78%24.92%24.75%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.85%3.59cote équitable
EV +1.64%
Avantage +0.449%
Kelly +0.618%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.73%27.75%27.81%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.373.353.6533.90%29.72%29.85%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.17%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -1.12%E -0.263%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV +1.64%E +0.449%K +0.618%G +0.010%6.5%2026-03-01 17:00
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%EV -4.18%E -2.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.57%EV -4.14%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.90%EV +0.524%E +0.145%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.0%2026-03-01 16:59
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -11.02%E -6.06%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -1.12%E -0.263%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +0.245%E +0.068%K +0.094%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:59
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:00
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:00
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:00
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:00
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:00
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -12.98%E -7.29%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 16:56
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 16:59
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.94%E -8.58%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.94%E -8.58%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 17:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.94%E -8.58%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -1.12%E -0.263%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 17:00
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -1.12%E -0.263%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 17:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -8.09%E -4.30%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:59
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.01%EV -3.69%E -1.87%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.51%EV -0.187%E -0.044%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 16:59
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.25%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -3.44%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:59
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 16:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 17:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 16:59
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 16:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -11.51%E -6.36%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 16:59
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.39%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:59
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.39%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:59
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -8.67%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -10.05%E -5.46%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.91%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.32%EV -8.94%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 16:58
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:59
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.03%EV -14.45%E -8.26%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 17:00
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -8.09%E -4.30%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 16:59
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 17:00
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 48.86%EV -13.47%E -7.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.69%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-01 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.00%EV -13.96%E -7.93%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.63%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-01 17:00
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.54%E -5.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -10.54%E -5.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-01 17:00
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.83%EV -15.91%E -9.25%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.70%EV -13.91%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.47%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-01 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-03-01 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-03-01 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-03-01 17:00
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-03-01 17:00
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-03-01 17:00