La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Samsunspor v Gazişehir Gaziantep
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Samsunspor (Local)
Predicción 48.89%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.21%49.05%48.89%52.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.861.9758.14%53.78%53.76%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante)
Predicción 23.27%4.30momio equitativo
EV +0.046%
Ventaja +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.73%23.20%23.30%24.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.014.044.3027.78%24.92%24.75%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.85%3.59momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.449%
Kelly +0.618%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.73%27.75%27.81%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.373.353.6533.90%29.72%29.85%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.17%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -1.12%E -0.263%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV +1.64%E +0.449%K +0.618%G +0.010% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%EV -4.18%E -2.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.57%EV -4.14%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.90%EV +0.524%E +0.145%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -11.02%E -6.06%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -1.12%E -0.263%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV +0.245%E +0.068%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -12.98%E -7.29%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -1.15%E -0.323%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 16:56 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.94%E -8.58%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.94%E -8.58%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -14.94%E -8.58%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -1.12%E -0.263%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.46%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -1.12%E -0.263%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -8.09%E -4.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.01%EV -3.69%E -1.87%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.51%EV -0.187%E -0.044%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.25%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -3.44%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -11.51%E -6.36%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.39%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.27%EV -8.39%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -8.67%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -10.05%E -5.46%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.91%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.32%EV -8.94%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 16:58 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.03%EV -14.45%E -8.26%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -8.09%E -4.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.86%EV -13.47%E -7.61%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.69%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.00%EV -13.96%E -7.93%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.63%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.54%E -5.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -10.54%E -5.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.83%EV -15.91%E -9.25%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.70%EV -13.91%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.47%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-03-01 17:00 |