Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsunspor v Çorum FK

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:59 UTC

Final: Samsunspor 1–5 Çorum FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsunspor (Local)

Prediction 43.57%2.30fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.12%43.52%43.50%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.112.102.2551.02%47.41%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Çorum FK (Visit)

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -0.487%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.186%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.30%27.49%27.58%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.363.303.6232.79%29.80%30.30%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.94%3.46fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.664%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.16%28.98%28.92%31.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.263.4033.33%31.03%30.67%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsunspor (Local): 43.57%; Çorum FK (Visit): 27.49%; Draw: 28.94%. For Çorum FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.62, with an expected value of -0.487%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.36%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -2.96%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.64%EV -9.99%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:16
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.50%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.30%EV -0.487%E -0.134%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 04:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.50%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.30%EV -0.487%E -0.134%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 04:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:40
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -3.24%E -0.919%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -5.65%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:30
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:08
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 15:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.664%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.664%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 07:15
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:06
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 07:15
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -3.04%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 07:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:31
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 12:35
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.82%EV -3.62%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:30
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.82%EV -3.62%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:31
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 23:05
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 16:15
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.78%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 14:06
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:30
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:30
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:30
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:30
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 06:28
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.59%E -0.469%K -0.664%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -11.99%E -5.94%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 06:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -11.99%E -5.94%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 06:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 06:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.30%EV -10.11%E -3.09%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.07%EV -7.96%E -2.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 44.56%EV -13.30%E -6.68%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-08 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 06:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.15%EV -14.61%E -7.45%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -16.16%E -5.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-09 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%4.4%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%4.4%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%4.4%2026-09-09 17:11
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49%5.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%12.5%2026-09-09 14:21