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Samsunspor v Amed SK

2026-10-24 16:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsunspor (Local)

Prediction 38.94%2.57fair odd
EV -6.53%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.32%38.94%38.78%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.362.4046.51%42.69%42.37%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amed SK (Visit)

Prediction 34.72%2.88fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.95%34.72%33.95%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.692.702.8040.82%37.11%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.489%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.15%26.34%27.27%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.453.8532.26%29.46%28.99%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Samsunspor (Local): 38.94%; Amed SK (Visit): 34.72%; Draw: 26.34%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.85, producing a positive expected value of +1.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.39%EV -8.09%E -3.43%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -11.46%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV +1.39%E +0.362%K +0.489%G +0.007%7.6%2026-10-17 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.39%EV -8.09%E -3.43%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -11.46%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV +1.39%E +0.362%K +0.489%G +0.007%7.6%2026-10-17 16:15
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:10
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:05
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 17:10
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.16%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -10.43%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -11.46%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-17 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.66%EV -11.60%E -5.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.59%EV -16.25%E -5.11%K -7.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-17 16:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.85%EV -16.27%E -7.57%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.95%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -17.04%E -5.41%K -7.93%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-17 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.35%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.44%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.22%EV -18.36%E -5.92%K -8.74%G +0.000%18.5%2026-10-17 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.