The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samsunspor v Amed SK

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 15:59 UTC

Final: Samsunspor 1–2 Amed SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsunspor (Local)

Prediction 31.37%3.19fair odd
EV +0.389%
Edge +0.122%
Kelly +0.177%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.39%31.32%31.33%32.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.32%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amed SK (Visit)

Prediction 41.46%2.41fair odd
EV -0.490%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.350%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%41.42%41.48%43.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.242.4050.00%45.11%44.64%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -0.847%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.26%27.25%27.19%28.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.6032.26%29.45%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsunspor (Local): 31.37%; Amed SK (Visit): 41.46%; Draw: 27.17%. For Samsunspor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.389%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +0.389%E +0.122%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.03%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:45
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.26%EV -0.552%E -0.174%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.64%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.10%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 15:55
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.75%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.75%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.38%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.12%E -3.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.20%E -0.612%K -0.847%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 06:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.38%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.12%E -3.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.20%E -0.612%K -0.847%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 06:00
BetUS🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -3.38%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.12%E -3.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.20%E -0.612%K -0.847%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 06:00
Pinnacle🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.52%EV -3.69%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.66%EV -1.32%E -0.554%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.81%EV -5.46%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 00:30
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -4.32%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.25%EV -13.76%E -6.61%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 15:45
GTbets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.17%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.37%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.47%EV -5.47%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 05:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 05:59
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 08:39
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -5.88%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -15.00%E -7.32%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 15:45
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -6.51%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 15:40
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.45%E -2.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 15:49
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.45%E -2.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -0.490%E -0.204%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -7.45%E -2.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.14%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -7.45%E -2.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.53%EV -8.72%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 15:40
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.52%EV -8.08%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.47%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 15:51
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 15:55
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.91%EV -8.18%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 05:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 08:40
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.02%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.65%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.86%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.64%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 15:50
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 06:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -12.10%E -5.71%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -10.59%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-24 15:35
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 15:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -4.64%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -4.64%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.16%E -4.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.86%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 06:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-10-24 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-10-24 15:55
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-10-24 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-10-24 15:55
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-10-24 15:50
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-10-24 15:55

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