Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.41
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kocaelispor (Local): 40.77%; Torku Konyaspor (Visit): 27.53%; Draw: 31.69%. For Torku Konyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV +1.87%E +0.507%K +0.694%G +0.013% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -2.14%E -0.894%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -0.328%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.00%EV -7.14%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.22%EV -1.74%E -0.721%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -0.879%E -0.244%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -6.50%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -9.04%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.50%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.67%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -5.41%E -2.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -9.99%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.81%E -2.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.50%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.63%E -2.90%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.63%E -2.90%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.21%EV -6.63%E -2.90%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.04%EV -3.65%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.34%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.03%EV -9.48%E -4.27%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.35%EV -8.31%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +1.42%E +0.443%K +0.645%G +0.009% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +1.42%E +0.443%K +0.645%G +0.009% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 04:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -9.08%E -4.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.75%EV -9.99%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.75%EV -9.99%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -11.11%E -5.10%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -0.166%E -0.053%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -10.30%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.34%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -10.30%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -9.67%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.34%E -5.74%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-14 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.30%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.22%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.30%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -6.50%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.30%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.34%E -5.74%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.34%E -5.74%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.34%E -5.74%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -12.34%E -5.74%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -14.38%E -6.85%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -10.62%E -3.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-14 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.56%EV -16.42%E -8.01%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -14.65%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.61%EV -19.18%E -7.52%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -10.30%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -20.70%E -7.19%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.81% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 10:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 09:05 |