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Kocaelispor v Goztepe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kocaelispor (Local)
Prediction 31.37%3.19fair odd
EV +0.375%
Edge +0.117%
Kelly +0.171%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.17%31.27%31.33%32.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.2036.36%33.68%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goztepe (Visit)
Prediction 39.54%2.53fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.786%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.16%39.54%39.54%41.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.342.352.4847.62%42.75%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.10%3.44fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.448%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.19%29.13%31.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.173.4034.72%31.62%31.50%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kocaelispor (Local): 31.37%; Goztepe (Visit): 39.54%; Draw: 29.10%. For Kocaelispor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.375%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV +0.375%E +0.117%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV +0.375%E +0.117%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.37%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.95%E -0.786%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.56%EV -7.77%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -1.19%E -0.379%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 12:57 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -16.20%E -5.63%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -2.76%E -0.891%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -16.20%E -5.63%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -2.34%E -0.949%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -2.34%E -0.949%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -2.34%E -0.949%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.79%EV -5.27%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.60%EV -9.46%E -4.13%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.07%E -0.316%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.26%EV -6.53%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 12:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.41%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.69%EV -1.95%E -0.786%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -3.40%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.54%EV -7.48%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.10%EV -7.48%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-18 12:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -8.41%E -2.88%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.76%EV -6.69%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.10%EV -2.82%E -0.844%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-16 15:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.03%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.62%E -5.39%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -9.86%E -4.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -9.86%E -4.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -9.86%E -4.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.60%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -10.60%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.38%EV -10.60%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -16.97%E -8.08%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.39%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-18 12:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.47%EV -11.54%E -4.09%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.44%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 12:57 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 12:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.07%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -5.00%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 12:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-18 13:00 |