Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.72
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kayserispor (Local): 36.07%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visit): 36.84%; Draw: 27.10%. For Kayserispor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -1.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.67%EV -1.90%E -0.699%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%EV -2.38%E -0.900%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.87%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.12%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -3.53%E -0.992%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 11:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.85%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -5.43%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -2.45%E -0.680%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 07:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.75%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -5.70%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -5.70%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.55%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.95%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.64%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.17%E -2.85%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV -8.14%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.64%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -7.17%E -2.85%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.44%EV -8.14%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.74%EV -6.95%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.74%EV -7.54%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.74%EV -6.95%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.74%EV -7.54%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.38%EV -7.31%E -2.84%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -11.59%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 14:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.45%E -0.680%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 14:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.45%E -0.680%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.45%E -0.680%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.45%E -0.680%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.45%E -0.680%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -2.38%E -0.900%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -2.38%E -0.900%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.45%E -0.680%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.91%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.59%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 17:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -13.44%E -5.72%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.75%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.59%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.17%EV -12.72%E -5.26%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.47%EV -11.59%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -11.59%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.71%E -6.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.43%EV -15.24%E -6.49%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -15.28%E -6.64%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.34%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.51% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.51% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.51% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |