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Kasimpasa SK v Samsunspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kasimpasa SK (Local)
Prediction 37.57%2.66fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.33%37.40%37.66%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.422.7145.45%40.69%41.32%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Samsunspor (Visit)
Prediction 33.32%3.00fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.869%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.72%33.32%33.37%34.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.802.9538.46%35.64%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.11%3.44fair odd
EV -0.442%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.183%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%29.28%28.97%31.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.183.193.4234.72%31.45%31.35%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 37.57%; Samsunspor (Visit): 33.32%; Draw: 29.11%. For Kasimpasa SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV +1.80%E +0.665%K +1.05%G +0.019% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -3.69%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV +1.43%E +0.528%K +0.839%G +0.012% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -0.452%E -0.171%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 10:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.33%EV -1.20%E -0.457%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.33%EV -12.36%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.35%EV -16.16%E -5.61%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -1.58%E -0.603%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -1.58%E -0.603%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-18 10:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -1.58%E -0.603%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-18 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -16.16%E -5.61%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.69%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -8.03%E -2.91%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-18 10:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.68%EV -7.69%E -2.78%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.09%EV -0.442%E -0.129%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.81%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.86%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.77%EV -8.69%E -3.17%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.08%EV -9.02%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.71%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.64%EV -8.34%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.55%EV -6.36%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.81%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.46%EV -9.36%E -3.44%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.62%EV -7.43%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -1.69%E -0.574%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -11.72%E -4.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -12.85%E -5.54%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -15.48%E -6.88%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -17.36%E -7.89%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.96% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.79% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |