L’École des cotes

Kasimpasa SK v Eyüpspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prévision 49.20%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.804%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.89%49.33%49.20%51.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.861.872.0058.14%53.74%53.48%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eyüpspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.86%4.19cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.572%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.43%23.74%23.91%24.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.924.2728.57%25.52%25.51%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.95%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.297%
Avantage -0.080%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.71%26.93%26.90%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.443.403.7033.33%29.09%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -5.05%E -2.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.65%EV +1.87%E +0.438%K +0.572%G +0.011%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 12:45
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.73%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV +0.440%E +0.104%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -0.567%E -0.154%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 12:55
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -10.46%E -5.75%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV +0.201%E +0.048%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.64%E -0.451%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:35
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -11.94%E -6.67%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:35
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:44
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.51%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:20
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:50
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:55
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -14.40%E -8.28%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 12:45
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -14.40%E -8.28%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 12:45
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -14.40%E -8.28%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.81%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.76%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -8.92%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:35
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -6.48%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -8.92%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 12:50
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -6.48%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -8.92%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 12:50
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -0.297%E -0.080%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -0.297%E -0.080%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 12:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -1.61%E -0.804%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 12:20
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.05%E -2.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.51%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:55
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -4.56%E -2.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.40%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:40
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 12:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 12:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 12:45
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 12:20
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.77%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 12:35
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.53%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 12:55
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.53%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 12:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.46%E -5.75%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.06%EV -10.46%E -5.75%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -10.27%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -8.50%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.48%E -5.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.97%EV -12.43%E -6.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-15 12:55
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.75%EV -15.38%E -8.94%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.29%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.95%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -16.50%E -4.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-03-15 12:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-15 12:35