La escuela de los momios

Kasimpasa SK v Eyüpspor

Inicio: 2026-03-15 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Predicción 49.20%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.804%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.89%49.33%49.20%51.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.872.0058.14%53.74%53.48%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Eyüpspor (Visitante)

Predicción 23.86%4.19momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.438%
Kelly +0.572%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.43%23.74%23.91%24.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.923.924.2728.57%25.52%25.51%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.95%3.71momio equitativo
EV -0.297%
Ventaja -0.080%
Kelly -0.110%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.71%26.93%26.90%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.403.7033.33%29.09%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -5.05%E -2.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.65%EV +1.87%E +0.438%K +0.572%G +0.011%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 12:45
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.73%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV +0.440%E +0.104%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -0.567%E -0.154%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 12:55
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -10.46%E -5.75%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV +0.201%E +0.048%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.64%E -0.451%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:35
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 12:50
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -11.94%E -6.67%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -2.18%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -2.99%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:35
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:44
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.51%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:20
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:50
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:55
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -14.40%E -8.28%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 12:45
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -14.40%E -8.28%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 12:45
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -14.40%E -8.28%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.81%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.76%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -8.92%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:35
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -6.48%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -8.92%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 12:50
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -6.48%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -8.92%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 12:50
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -0.297%E -0.080%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -0.297%E -0.080%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 12:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -1.61%E -0.804%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 12:20
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.05%E -2.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.51%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:55
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -4.56%E -2.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.40%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:40
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 12:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 12:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 12:45
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 12:20
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.77%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 12:35
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.53%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 12:55
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.53%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 12:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.46%E -5.75%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.06%EV -10.46%E -5.75%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -10.27%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -8.50%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 12:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.48%E -5.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.97%EV -12.43%E -6.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-15 12:55
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.75%EV -15.38%E -8.94%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.29%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.95%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -16.50%E -4.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-03-15 12:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-15 12:35