L’École des cotes

Kasimpasa SK v Çaykur Rizespor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prévision 34.09%2.93cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.633%
Kelly -0.970%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.45%34.19%33.98%36.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.682.702.8840.32%37.36%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.65%2.66cote équitable
EV +1.67%
Avantage +0.617%
Kelly +0.980%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.01%37.54%37.68%39.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.492.502.7044.44%40.19%40.08%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.26%3.54cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.898%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.22%28.27%28.33%29.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.4334.72%30.70%30.77%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -11.37%E -4.37%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV +1.67%E +0.617%K +0.980%G +0.016%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 04:29
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -0.969%E -0.369%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 04:29
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 05:44
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 05:44
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 09:19
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.81%EV -2.16%E -0.754%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%EV -3.61%E -1.41%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.29%EV -3.08%E -0.898%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 08:59
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -1.82%E -0.633%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 08:35
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 09:24
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -15.46%E -6.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -15.46%E -6.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 04:30
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -15.46%E -6.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 04:30
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 05:09
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 05:45
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 05:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.66%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 09:24
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:05
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:04
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:05
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.18%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -6.24%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.34%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 07:44
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -5.91%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.93%EV -7.37%E -3.00%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:57
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 09:09
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 07:24
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.66%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 08:44
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.74%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:33
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.74%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:34
NordicBet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.67%EV -5.91%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -8.50%E -3.50%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -6.47%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 07:44
Betsson2.76I 36.23%NM 33.67%EV -5.91%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -8.50%E -3.50%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -6.47%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 07:44
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:19
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:19
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:24
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.66%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.34%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 07:44
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 07:39
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 08:59
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.37%E -4.37%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 05:03
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.37%E -4.37%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-28 07:54
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.35%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.38%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 07:24
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.89%EV -8.64%E -3.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.33%EV -10.76%E -4.54%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.78%EV -7.60%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 07:44
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -11.37%E -4.37%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -11.51%E -4.90%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 07:44
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.65%EV -14.10%E -5.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -12.64%E -5.45%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-28 07:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -13.40%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -10.35%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -15.28%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -18.62%E -6.47%K -9.90%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-28 07:25
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -14.78%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -15.28%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -15.23%E -5.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-28 08:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-02-28 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-02-28 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-02-28 09:24
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-02-28 09:25
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-02-28 09:25