La escuela de los momios

Kasimpasa SK v Çaykur Rizespor

Inicio: 2026-02-28 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Predicción 34.09%2.93momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.633%
Kelly -0.970%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.45%34.19%33.98%36.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.682.702.8840.32%37.36%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Çaykur Rizespor (Visitante)

Predicción 37.65%2.66momio equitativo
EV +1.67%
Ventaja +0.617%
Kelly +0.980%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.01%37.54%37.68%39.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.7044.44%40.19%40.08%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -0.898%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.22%28.27%28.33%29.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4334.72%30.70%30.77%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -11.37%E -4.37%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV +1.67%E +0.617%K +0.980%G +0.016%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 04:29
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:29
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.216%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 04:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -13.07%E -5.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -0.969%E -0.369%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 04:29
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 05:44
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 05:44
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 09:19
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.81%EV -2.16%E -0.754%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%EV -3.61%E -1.41%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.29%EV -3.08%E -0.898%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 08:59
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -1.82%E -0.633%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 08:35
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 09:24
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -15.46%E -6.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -15.46%E -6.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 04:30
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -15.46%E -6.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 04:30
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 05:09
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 05:45
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 05:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.66%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 09:24
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:05
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:04
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 05:05
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.18%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -6.24%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.34%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 07:44
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -5.91%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.93%EV -7.37%E -3.00%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:57
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 09:09
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 07:24
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.66%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 08:44
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.74%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:33
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.74%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:34
NordicBet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.67%EV -5.91%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -8.50%E -3.50%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -6.47%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 07:44
Betsson2.76I 36.23%NM 33.67%EV -5.91%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -8.50%E -3.50%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -6.47%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 07:44
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:19
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.55%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:19
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:24
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.66%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.34%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 07:44
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.26%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 07:39
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 08:59
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.37%E -4.37%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 05:03
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.37%E -4.37%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-28 07:54
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.35%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.38%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 07:24
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.89%EV -8.64%E -3.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.33%EV -10.76%E -4.54%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.78%EV -7.60%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 07:44
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -11.37%E -4.37%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -11.51%E -4.90%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 07:44
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.65%EV -14.10%E -5.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -12.64%E -5.45%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-28 07:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.96%E -2.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -13.40%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -10.35%E -3.93%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -15.28%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -18.62%E -6.47%K -9.90%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-28 07:25
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -14.78%E -5.91%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -15.28%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -15.23%E -5.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-28 08:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-02-28 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-02-28 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-02-28 09:24
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-02-28 09:25
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-02-28 09:25