The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kasimpasa SK v Besiktas JK

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 16:00 UTC

Final: Kasimpasa SK 2–2 Besiktas JK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prediction 17.85%5.60fair odd
EV +7.13%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.68%17.73%17.93%19.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.355.256.0021.74%18.69%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Besiktas JK (Visit)

Prediction 61.06%1.64fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.92%61.15%61.03%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.501.6069.93%66.12%66.67%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.08%4.74fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +0.634%
Kelly +0.797%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 4.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.63%21.13%21.04%22.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.354.354.8925.64%23.01%22.99%20.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 17.85%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 61.06%; Draw: 21.08%. For Kasimpasa SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.60. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
Casumo🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
betPARX🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +7.13%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.29%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:45
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +5.34%E +0.905%K +1.09%G +0.058%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -9.63%E -6.51%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.02%E -0.655%K -0.838%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 15:59
Pinnacle🎯5.79I 17.27%NM 16.68%EV +3.38%E +0.583%K +0.705%G +0.024%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.60%EV -1.12%E -0.238%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV +1.77%E +0.311%K +0.377%G +0.007%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 15:59
BetUS🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV +1.77%E +0.311%K +0.377%G +0.007%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.77%E +0.311%K +0.377%G +0.007%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 15:35
SportsBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.77%E +0.311%K +0.377%G +0.007%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -10.85%E -7.43%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -10.85%E -7.43%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.46%E -7.90%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 15:45
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -12.07%E -8.38%K -27.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -13.56%E -3.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 15:44
LowVig.ag🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.18%EV -0.907%E -0.163%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.14%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -12.68%E -8.87%K -29.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -13.56%E -3.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 15:45
Bovada🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.29%EV -4.48%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.68%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 15:59
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 15:30
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 15:10
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -9.34%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 15:08
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:59
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:45
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.34%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 09:50
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -7.80%E -5.16%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.39%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 15:59
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.73%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.12%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 15:50
Betsson🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.06%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 15:50
NordicBet🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 17.92%EV -7.69%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.11%EV -7.44%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:50
GTbets🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.63%EV -9.12%E -1.79%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.27%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.10%EV -9.55%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 15:10
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 15:10
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.71%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.71%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.71%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 15:59
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 15:59
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -10.24%E -6.97%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 15:50
1xBet🎯4.89I 20.45%NM 19.63%EV -12.69%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.75%EV -3.52%E -2.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.63%EV +3.10%E +0.634%K +0.797%G +0.025%4.2%2026-11-01 15:50
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -17.77%E -4.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -11.46%E -7.90%K -25.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -13.56%E -3.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 15:45
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -15.19%E -3.20%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -8.71%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 14:09
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -15.19%E -3.20%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.79%EV -9.63%E -6.51%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -13.56%E -3.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 15:48
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -16.08%E -3.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -7.23%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36%EV -16.08%E -3.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.34%EV -12.68%E -8.87%K -29.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.30%EV -14.61%E -3.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-01 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -17.87%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -9.34%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.60%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.02%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.38%0.1%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-11-01 15:50
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.34%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.66%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.01%2.0%2026-11-01 15:50
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.52%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.41%3.0%2026-11-01 15:45

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