Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 4.11
assuming max odds 3.57
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goztepe (Local): 47.97%; Genclerbirligi SK (Visit): 24.38%; Draw: 27.65%. For Genclerbirligi SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.201%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.99%EV -5.02%E -2.53%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.60%EV +0.201%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.40%EV -2.12%E -0.599%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -10.29%E -5.50%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -1.84%E -0.520%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -10.29%E -5.50%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -0.043%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -1.84%E -0.520%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.10%E -1.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -1.02%E -0.251%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -5.44%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 18:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.86%E -4.66%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.21%E -6.67%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.21%E -6.67%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.21%E -6.67%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.21%E -6.67%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.21%E -6.67%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.21%E -6.67%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.21%E -6.67%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -2.48%E -0.620%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.89%EV -13.17%E -7.28%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.89%EV -13.17%E -7.28%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -13.65%E -7.58%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -6.94%E -3.58%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:22 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -5.50%E -2.79%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.10%EV -15.09%E -8.53%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.10%EV -15.09%E -8.53%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.29%E -5.50%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.62%E -1.29%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -3.23%E -0.922%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 18:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.83%EV -5.98%E -3.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -14.29%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.73%EV -8.82%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.85%EV -8.20%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.73%EV -8.82%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.85%EV -8.20%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -1.66%E -0.810%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.49%EV -7.42%E -3.84%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.22%EV -1.29%E -0.362%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -9.33%E -4.94%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.37%EV -8.20%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.94%EV -12.69%E -6.97%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.86%E -4.66%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -5.02%E -2.53%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -9.81%E -5.22%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.57%EV -10.29%E -5.50%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.01% | 0.0% | 2026-08-23 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |