Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Goztepe v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC

Final: Goztepe 2–4 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Goztepe (Local)

Prediction 50.18%1.99fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%50.16%50.17%51.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.861.851.9456.82%53.63%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit)

Prediction 22.84%4.38fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.476%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.11%22.77%22.87%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.034.004.4527.40%24.80%25.00%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.802%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%27.07%26.96%28.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.6032.26%29.45%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goztepe (Local): 50.18%; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit): 22.84%; Draw: 26.98%. For Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%EV -4.65%E -2.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.83%EV +1.64%E +0.369%K +0.476%G +0.008%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.05%EV -3.16%E -0.879%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 16:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.500%E +0.114%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV +0.500%E +0.114%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV +0.500%E +0.114%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -5.15%E -2.73%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.98%EV +0.272%E +0.062%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -3.43%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 16:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -6.16%E -3.29%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.78%E -0.415%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.91%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -6.16%E -3.29%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.78%E -0.415%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.91%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:51
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -6.16%E -3.29%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -1.78%E -0.415%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:45
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.84%EV -3.15%E -0.744%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.84%EV -3.15%E -0.744%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -6.16%E -3.29%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.07%E -0.969%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 16:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.07%E -0.969%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.07%E -0.969%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.07%E -0.969%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.07%E -0.969%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -4.07%E -0.969%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.68%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -4.07%E -0.969%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.68%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:50
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -6.16%E -3.29%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -5.21%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -4.65%E -2.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.35%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -6.66%E -3.58%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.35%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:55
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -7.66%E -4.17%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.35%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.65%E -2.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.89%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:55
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.14%EV -3.65%E -1.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.27%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -4.65%E -2.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 16:35
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 16:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.14%EV -10.23%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 16:38
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:25
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:24
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.16%E -3.29%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.92%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.96%EV -10.67%E -6.00%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.10%EV -12.06%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -7.66%E -4.17%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.68%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.57%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -16.63%E -4.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -16.63%E -4.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-09-07 16:55
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-07 16:55
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-07 16:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-09-07 16:50