L’École des cotes

Goztepe v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 17:00 UTC

Score final : Goztepe 2–1 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Goztepe (Local)

Prévision 59.84%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -4.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%59.76%59.87%61.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.551.541.6267.57%64.69%64.94%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.62%5.68cote équitable
EV +2.19%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.457%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.18%17.60%17.67%19.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.335.435.8022.22%18.78%18.43%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.54%4.44cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.270%
Kelly +0.347%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.56%22.64%22.46%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.074.104.4928.57%24.59%24.39%22.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.19%E +0.378%K +0.457%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:24
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.19%E +0.378%K +0.457%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:25
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -6.05%E -3.86%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.59%EV +1.84%E +0.318%K +0.385%G +0.007%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.35%EV -3.30%E -0.768%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:25
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:24
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:24
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:24
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:24
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:23
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:25
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.61%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV +0.430%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:55
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.61%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV +0.430%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:55
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -9.64%E -6.39%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -1.33%E -0.238%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:24
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.83%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -1.33%E -0.238%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:24
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.05%E -3.86%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.07%E -0.714%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 16:34
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -9.04%E -5.95%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.07%E -0.714%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:55
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:54
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:49
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -11.44%E -7.73%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.96%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:24
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -11.44%E -7.73%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.96%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:19
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -11.44%E -7.73%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.96%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:24
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.46%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.97%EV -3.97%E -0.729%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 16:45
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.86%E -0.899%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:29
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -4.86%E -0.899%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:54
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.41%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -7.50%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.96%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 16:49
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.52%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.38%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:49
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.75%EV -3.06%E -1.89%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.69%EV -8.73%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.56%EV +1.21%E +0.270%K +0.347%G +0.004%3.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.05%E -3.86%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -9.26%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.45%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -10.14%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -8.71%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -10.14%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -8.71%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -2.39%E -0.553%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:45
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:45
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.05%E -3.86%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 16:55
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:35
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:34
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -8.71%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 16:28
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.71%EV -9.64%E -6.39%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.26%EV -8.71%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 16:44
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.81%EV -11.44%E -7.73%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.06%EV -13.67%E -2.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -15.43%E -3.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 16:45
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.43%E -3.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 16:27
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -9.04%E -5.95%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -17.19%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.24%E -6.83%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -20.71%E -4.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -21.10%E -6.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-09 16:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 16:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 16:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-05-09 16:55
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.50%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-05-09 16:50