La escuela de los momios

Goztepe v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Inicio: 2026-05-09 17:00 UTC

Final: Goztepe 2–1 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Goztepe (Local)

Predicción 59.84%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -4.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.76%59.76%59.87%61.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.551.541.6267.57%64.69%64.94%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante)

Predicción 17.62%5.68momio equitativo
EV +2.19%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.457%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.18%17.60%17.67%19.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.335.435.8022.22%18.78%18.43%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.54%4.44momio equitativo
EV +1.21%
Ventaja +0.270%
Kelly +0.347%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.56%22.64%22.46%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.074.104.4928.57%24.59%24.39%22.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.19%E +0.378%K +0.457%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:24
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.19%E +0.378%K +0.457%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:25
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -6.05%E -3.86%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.59%EV +1.84%E +0.318%K +0.385%G +0.007%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.35%EV -3.30%E -0.768%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:25
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:24
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:24
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:24
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:24
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:23
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +1.31%E +0.228%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:25
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.61%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV +0.430%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:55
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.61%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV +0.430%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:55
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -9.64%E -6.39%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -1.33%E -0.238%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:24
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.24%E -6.83%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -1.33%E -0.238%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:24
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.05%E -3.86%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.07%E -0.714%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 16:34
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -9.04%E -5.95%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.07%E -0.714%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:55
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:54
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:49
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -11.44%E -7.73%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.96%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:24
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -11.44%E -7.73%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.96%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:19
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -11.44%E -7.73%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -3.09%E -0.563%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.96%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:24
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.46%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.97%EV -3.97%E -0.729%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 16:45
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.86%E -0.899%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:29
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -4.86%E -0.899%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:54
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.41%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -7.50%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.96%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 16:49
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.52%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.38%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:49
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.75%EV -3.06%E -1.89%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.69%EV -8.73%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.56%EV +1.21%E +0.270%K +0.347%G +0.004%3.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.05%E -3.86%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -9.26%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.45%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -10.14%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -8.71%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -10.14%E -1.99%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -8.71%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -2.39%E -0.553%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:45
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:45
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.05%E -3.86%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 16:55
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:35
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.26%E -2.66%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:34
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -8.71%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 16:28
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.71%EV -9.64%E -6.39%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -11.90%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.26%EV -8.71%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 16:44
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.81%EV -11.44%E -7.73%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.06%EV -13.67%E -2.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -15.43%E -3.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 16:45
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.43%E -3.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 16:27
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -9.04%E -5.95%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -17.19%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -7.58%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.24%E -6.83%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -20.71%E -4.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -21.10%E -6.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-09 16:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 16:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 16:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-05-09 16:55
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.50%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-05-09 16:50