La escuela de los momios

Goztepe v Galatasaray

Inicio: 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Goztepe (Local)

Predicción 21.47%4.66momio equitativo
EV +5.65%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.44%
Crecimiento +0.081%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.45%21.31%21.51%22.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.334.304.9225.00%23.09%23.26%20.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galatasaray (Visitante)

Predicción 52.45%1.91momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.61%52.63%52.39%54.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.751.761.8361.73%57.08%56.82%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.08%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.589%
Kelly -0.803%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.06%26.10%27.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.553.553.7530.77%28.16%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.68%EV +5.65%E +1.15%K +1.44%G +0.081%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -4.02%E -2.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV +3.07%E +0.640%K +0.809%G +0.025%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 16:50
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV +3.07%E +0.640%K +0.809%G +0.025%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -10.31%E -6.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Pinnacle4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV +2.00%E +0.421%K +0.533%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 16:55
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:45
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 16:54
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 16:55
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-08 16:55
GTbets4.46I 22.42%NM 20.97%EV -4.23%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.54%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:50
NordicBet4.46I 22.42%NM 20.87%EV -4.23%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:54
Betsson4.46I 22.42%NM 20.87%EV -4.23%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:54
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -6.64%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 16:55
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.21%E -0.589%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:50
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:55
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:55
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 16:45
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 16:45
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.40%EV -15.03%E -9.28%K -24.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-08 16:55
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.54%E -2.50%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 16:45
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:20
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:20
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 15:50
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:41
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:45
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:45
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:45
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.17%E -4.05%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:20
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 16:50
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -7.17%E -4.05%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 16:45
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.85%EV -11.36%E -6.72%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 16:54
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.52%EV -10.88%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.22%EV -10.31%E -6.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 16:54
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -8.74%E -5.02%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:55
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 16:20
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 16:20
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 16:20
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.90%EV -11.89%E -7.08%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-08 16:55
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 16:40
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-08 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-04-08 16:50
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-08 16:55
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-04-08 16:55