مدرسة الاحتمالات

Goztepe v Galatasaray

البداية: 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Goztepe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.47%4.66السعر العادل
EV +5.65%
الأفضلية +1.15%
Kelly +1.44%
النمو +0.081%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.45%21.31%21.51%22.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.334.304.9225.00%23.09%23.26%20.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Galatasaray (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.45%1.91السعر العادل
EV -4.02%
الأفضلية -2.20%
Kelly -4.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.61%52.63%52.39%54.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.751.761.8361.73%57.08%56.82%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.08%3.83السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -0.589%
Kelly -0.803%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.29%26.06%26.10%27.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.553.553.7530.77%28.16%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.68%EV +5.65%E +1.15%K +1.44%G +0.081%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -4.02%E -2.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV +3.07%E +0.640%K +0.809%G +0.025%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 16:50
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV +3.07%E +0.640%K +0.809%G +0.025%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -10.31%E -6.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Pinnacle4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV +2.00%E +0.421%K +0.533%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 16:55
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:45
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 16:54
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 16:55
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-08 16:55
GTbets4.46I 22.42%NM 20.97%EV -4.23%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.54%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:50
NordicBet4.46I 22.42%NM 20.87%EV -4.23%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:54
Betsson4.46I 22.42%NM 20.87%EV -4.23%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 16:54
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.44%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -6.64%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 16:55
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.21%E -0.589%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:50
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:55
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:55
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 16:45
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 16:45
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.40%EV -15.03%E -9.28%K -24.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-08 16:55
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.54%E -2.50%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 16:45
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:20
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:20
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 15:50
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:41
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:45
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:45
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 16:45
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.17%E -4.05%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 16:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:20
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 16:50
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -7.17%E -4.05%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 16:45
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.85%EV -11.36%E -6.72%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 16:54
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.52%EV -10.88%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.22%EV -10.31%E -6.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 16:54
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -8.74%E -5.02%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:55
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 16:20
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 16:20
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -10.84%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 16:20
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.90%EV -11.89%E -7.08%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-08 16:55
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 16:40
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-08 16:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-04-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-04-08 16:50
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-08 16:55
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-04-08 16:55