The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Goztepe v Çorum FK

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 16:00 UTC

Final: Goztepe 2–0 Çorum FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Goztepe (Local)

Prediction 41.87%2.39fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.43%41.89%41.83%43.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.36%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Çorum FK (Visit)

Prediction 30.95%3.23fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -0.729%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%30.95%30.92%32.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1835.71%33.44%33.33%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -0.768%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.290%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%27.15%27.25%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.403.6533.33%29.30%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goztepe (Local): 41.87%; Çorum FK (Visit): 30.95%; Draw: 27.19%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.768%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.56%EV -2.45%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.94%EV -3.14%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.30%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 15:41
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 15:56
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 15:57
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 15:57
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 15:57
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.58%EV -4.96%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 15:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 15:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.13%E -0.591%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 15:41
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:35
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 15:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 15:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.78%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 15:57
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.53%EV -8.65%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 15:40
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 15:34
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.47%EV -7.48%E -3.38%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.21%EV -1.59%E -0.500%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -0.768%E -0.210%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 15:57
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:36
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.49%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.13%E -0.591%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 15:40
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 15:35
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 15:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 15:41
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 15:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -18.44%E -6.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 15:57
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.89%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -9.63%E -3.30%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.04%EV -9.57%E -4.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -2.83%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 08:30
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.03%EV -9.57%E -4.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -4.68%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.79%EV -5.66%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -10.41%E -4.86%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -10.41%E -4.86%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.24%EV -10.41%E -4.86%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 15:35
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -11.24%E -5.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 15:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.08%E -5.75%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 15:56
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.08%E -5.75%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 15:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.08%E -5.75%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 15:56
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -16.27%E -8.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-25 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-10-25 15:57
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-10-25 15:57
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-10-25 15:57
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-10-25 15:57
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-10-25 15:57
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-10-25 15:57