L’École des cotes

Genclerbirligi SK v Kayserispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 13:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Prévision 39.96%2.50cote équitable
EV -0.508%
Avantage -0.204%
Kelly -0.341%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.93%40.00%39.93%41.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.352.4947.62%42.91%42.55%40.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kayserispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.86%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.397%
Kelly -0.587%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.01%31.81%31.86%33.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.872.853.1038.46%34.86%35.09%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.18%3.55cote équitable
EV -0.796%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.316%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.13%28.20%28.21%29.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.5234.72%30.64%30.77%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.508%E -0.204%K -0.341%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -0.796%E -0.226%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -2.11%E -0.860%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 12:58
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -2.91%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 13:00
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -2.91%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 13:00
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.13%EV -3.70%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -2.49%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 12:59
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -1.87%E -0.607%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -1.87%E -0.607%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 12:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 12:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:00
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:48
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 13:00
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.09%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 12:59
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 13:00
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.80%EV -5.37%E -1.81%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.02%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 12:59
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 12:58
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 12:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 12:59
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 12:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 12:59
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.72%EV -9.52%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.41%EV -4.46%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 12:59
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.72%EV -9.52%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.41%EV -4.46%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 13:00
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 12:58
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.22%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.22%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 13:00
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.22%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 13:00
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -7.70%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -5.69%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.43%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 12:59
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 12:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 12:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 12:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 12:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.23%E -0.397%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 12:59
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -16.21%E -6.16%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.29%EV -11.30%E -5.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.77%EV -9.25%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 12:59
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -12.10%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 12:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -14.09%E -6.56%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -14.09%E -6.56%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -13.98%E -5.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.45%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-01 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.01%EV -6.97%E -2.39%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 12:58
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.69%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -17.16%E -6.60%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -16.86%E -5.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-01 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-03-01 13:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-03-01 13:00