La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Genclerbirligi SK v Kayserispor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Genclerbirligi SK (Local)
Predicción 39.96%2.50momio equitativo
EV -0.508%
Ventaja -0.204%
Kelly -0.341%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.93%40.00%39.93%41.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.332.352.4947.62%42.91%42.55%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kayserispor (Visitante)
Predicción 31.86%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.397%
Kelly -0.587%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.01%31.81%31.86%33.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.872.853.1038.46%34.86%35.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.18%3.55momio equitativo
EV -0.796%
Ventaja -0.226%
Kelly -0.316%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.13%28.20%28.21%29.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.5234.72%30.64%30.77%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.508%E -0.204%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -0.796%E -0.226%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -2.11%E -0.860%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 12:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -2.91%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -2.91%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.13%EV -3.70%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -2.49%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -1.87%E -0.607%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -1.87%E -0.607%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 12:48 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.09%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| GTbets | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.80%EV -5.37%E -1.81%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.02%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 12:58 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 12:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Betsson | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.72%EV -9.52%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.41%EV -4.46%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.88%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.72%EV -9.52%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.41%EV -4.46%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 12:58 |
| BetUS | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.22%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.22%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.22%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -7.70%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -5.69%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -6.43%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.24%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.23%E -0.397%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -16.21%E -6.16%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.29%EV -11.30%E -5.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -10.79%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.77%EV -9.25%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -12.10%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.81%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -14.09%E -6.56%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -14.09%E -6.56%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -13.98%E -5.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.45%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.01%EV -6.97%E -2.39%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-01 12:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.69%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -17.16%E -6.60%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -16.86%E -5.72%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-01 12:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-01 13:00 |