L’École des cotes

Genclerbirligi SK v Galatasaray

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 17:04 UTC

Score final : Genclerbirligi SK 1–2 Galatasaray

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Prévision 13.14%7.61cote équitable
EV +9.60%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.126%

avec la cote maximale 8.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.61%13.05%13.17%14.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.457.097.008.3415.50%14.10%14.29%11.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galatasaray (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.85%1.47cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -5.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.51%67.87%67.79%70.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.96%73.26%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.01%5.26cote équitable
EV +0.951%
Avantage +0.179%
Kelly +0.221%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.09%19.08%19.04%20.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.754.725.3123.81%21.07%21.16%18.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet8.34I 11.99%NM 11.64%EV +9.60%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.126%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -2.98%E -2.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 16:59
Pinnacle8.15I 12.27%NM 11.79%EV +7.10%E +0.871%K +0.993%G +0.071%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.12%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.09%EV +0.951%E +0.179%K +0.221%G +0.002%4.1%2026-04-18 16:59
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.733%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 17:01
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.733%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.733%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:58
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV +2.50%E +0.321%K +0.368%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -1.14%E -0.219%K -0.271%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 16:59
BetOnline.ag7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV +2.50%E +0.321%K +0.368%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.55%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.04%E -0.596%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:59
LowVig.ag7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV +2.50%E +0.321%K +0.368%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.55%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.04%E -0.596%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 16:59
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:00
GTbets7.35I 13.61%NM 12.95%EV -3.41%E -0.464%K -0.537%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.02%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:00
NordicBet7.29I 13.72%NM 12.78%EV -4.20%E -0.576%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.00%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.23%EV -2.85%E -0.558%K -0.694%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 17:00
Betsson7.29I 13.72%NM 12.78%EV -4.20%E -0.576%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.00%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.23%EV -2.85%E -0.558%K -0.694%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 17:00
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -4.72%E -0.652%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.49%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.35%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:00
BetUS7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -4.72%E -0.652%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.86%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.50%EV -5.89%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 16:59
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:00
Codere (IT)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.84%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 17:00
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 16:59
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:00
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:01
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:01
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:01
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 16:57
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:59
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:59
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:59
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -20.15%E -4.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 17:00
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:00
LeoVegas6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 17:00
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 17:01
Fliff6.65I 15.04%NM 13.02%EV -12.61%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.61%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.37%EV -19.20%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.65%EV -13.27%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 16:58
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:01
Ladbrokes (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Neds6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:01
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 17:00
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.55%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -18.25%E -4.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Marathon Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -15.24%E -2.36%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.08%EV -5.69%E -4.10%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.790%K -0.986%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-18 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-18 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-04-18 17:01
Matchbook9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.1%2026-04-18 17:01
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.15%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%2.9%2026-04-18 17:01