La escuela de los momios

Genclerbirligi SK v Galatasaray

Inicio: 2026-04-18 17:04 UTC

Final: Genclerbirligi SK 1–2 Galatasaray

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Predicción 13.14%7.61momio equitativo
EV +9.60%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.126%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.61%13.05%13.17%14.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.457.097.008.3415.50%14.10%14.29%11.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galatasaray (Visitante)

Predicción 67.85%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -5.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.51%67.87%67.79%70.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.96%73.26%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.01%5.26momio equitativo
EV +0.951%
Ventaja +0.179%
Kelly +0.221%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.09%19.08%19.04%20.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.754.725.3123.81%21.07%21.16%18.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet8.34I 11.99%NM 11.64%EV +9.60%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.126%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -2.98%E -2.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 16:59
Pinnacle8.15I 12.27%NM 11.79%EV +7.10%E +0.871%K +0.993%G +0.071%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.12%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.09%EV +0.951%E +0.179%K +0.221%G +0.002%4.1%2026-04-18 16:59
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.733%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 17:01
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.733%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.733%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:58
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV +2.50%E +0.321%K +0.368%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -1.14%E -0.219%K -0.271%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 16:59
BetOnline.ag7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV +2.50%E +0.321%K +0.368%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.55%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.04%E -0.596%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:59
LowVig.ag7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV +2.50%E +0.321%K +0.368%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.55%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.04%E -0.596%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 16:59
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:00
GTbets7.35I 13.61%NM 12.95%EV -3.41%E -0.464%K -0.537%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.02%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:00
NordicBet7.29I 13.72%NM 12.78%EV -4.20%E -0.576%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.00%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.23%EV -2.85%E -0.558%K -0.694%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 17:00
Betsson7.29I 13.72%NM 12.78%EV -4.20%E -0.576%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.00%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.23%EV -2.85%E -0.558%K -0.694%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 17:00
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -4.72%E -0.652%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.49%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -16.35%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:00
BetUS7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -4.72%E -0.652%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.86%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.50%EV -5.89%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 16:59
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:00
Codere (IT)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.84%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.94%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 17:00
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 16:59
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:00
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:01
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:01
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:00
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:01
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 16:57
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:59
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:59
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:59
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.76%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -20.15%E -4.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 17:00
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:00
LeoVegas6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 17:00
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 17:01
Fliff6.65I 15.04%NM 13.02%EV -12.61%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.61%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.37%EV -19.20%E -4.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.65%EV -13.27%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 16:58
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:01
Ladbrokes (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Neds6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.74%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:01
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 17:00
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.55%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -18.25%E -4.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Marathon Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -15.24%E -2.36%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.08%EV -5.69%E -4.10%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.790%K -0.986%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-18 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-18 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-04-18 17:01
Matchbook9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.1%2026-04-18 17:01
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.15%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%2.9%2026-04-18 17:01