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Genclerbirligi SK v Galatasaray
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Genclerbirligi SK (Local)
Prediction 11.50%8.69fair odd
EV +3.52%
Edge +0.391%
Kelly +0.440%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.20%11.57%11.49%13.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.888.009.0014.29%12.70%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Galatasaray (Visit)
Prediction 70.64%1.42fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -10.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.05%70.49%70.59%72.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.331.3680.00%75.53%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.86%5.60fair odd
EV +0.560%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.121%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.06%17.94%17.92%19.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.555.115.105.6321.98%19.57%19.61%17.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genclerbirligi SK (Local): 11.50%; Galatasaray (Visit): 70.64%; Draw: 17.86%. For Genclerbirligi SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.69. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +3.52%E +0.391%K +0.440%G +0.015% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 12:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +3.52%E +0.391%K +0.440%G +0.015% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.76%E -0.320%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +3.52%E +0.391%K +0.440%G +0.015% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.76%E -0.320%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 12:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV +3.52%E +0.391%K +0.440%G +0.015% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -10.29%E -8.10%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.99I 11.12%NM 10.69%EV +3.40%E +0.379%K +0.426%G +0.014% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.25%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 17.07%EV +0.560%E +0.099%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV +0.643%E +0.073%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -5.33%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.74%EV +0.068%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.77%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.50%EV -9.80%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.57I 11.67%NM 10.80%EV -1.43%E -0.167%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.65%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.55%EV -10.87%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 12:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.69%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 12:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.39%EV -4.88%E -0.590%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.81%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.80%EV -5.51%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.74%EV -6.14%E -0.753%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.94%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.32%EV -1.23%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.48%EV -6.83%E -0.844%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.98%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -5.33%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.76%E -0.320%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.76%E -0.320%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -3.55%E -0.657%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 12:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 12:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -7.12%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.42%EV -8.88%E -6.88%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -3.55%E -0.657%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.69%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.70%E -9.36%K -46.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.69%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.70%E -9.36%K -46.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.69%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -3.93%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -8.91%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -8.88%E -6.88%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -6.23%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 12:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -8.88%E -6.88%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -16.61%E -2.29%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.06%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -12.48%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -16.61%E -2.29%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.55%EV -9.59%E -7.49%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -12.48%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 12:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.69%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -6.05%E -4.55%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.27%E -2.97%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -15.16%E -3.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-16 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -15.16%E -3.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-16 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -16.05%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.47%EV -10.29%E -8.10%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11%EV -18.73%E -4.12%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.71% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.71% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.07% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.64% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.40% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79% | 2.3% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |