默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Genclerbirligi SK v Erzurum BB

开赛时间: 2026-08-28 18:30 UTC

最终结果: Genclerbirligi SK 1–1 Erzurum BB

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Genclerbirligi SK (主队)

预测 42.40%2.36公平赔率
EV -2.90%
优势 -1.27%
Kelly -2.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布
41.34%42.53%42.37%44.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.162.192.2950.00%46.29%45.77%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Erzurum BB (客队)

预测 26.26%3.81公平赔率
EV +2.40%
优势 +0.616%
Kelly +0.828%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.81%26.17%26.33%27.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.553.503.9030.30%28.19%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.34%3.19公平赔率
EV -0.014%
优势 -0.004%
Kelly -0.006%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.19

博彩公司预测分布
29.74%31.30%31.30%32.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.003.003.1935.71%33.32%33.33%31.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Genclerbirligi SK (主队):42.40%;Erzurum BB (客队):26.26%;平局:31.34%。 对于“Erzurum BB (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.81。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.90,对应+2.40%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -7.14%E -3.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV +2.40%E +0.616%K +0.828%G +0.020%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -2.21%E -0.708%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -7.14%E -3.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV +2.40%E +0.616%K +0.828%G +0.020%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -2.21%E -0.708%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 18:01
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.25%EV -2.90%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.06%EV +1.35%E +0.350%K +0.473%G +0.006%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.69%EV -7.22%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 18:15
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.51%EV -5.45%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -2.32%E -0.625%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.41%EV -0.014%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 18:26
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.84%E -4.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -7.54%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 18:21
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.54%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:26
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -6.30%E -2.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:24
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -6.30%E -2.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.65%EV -5.02%E -2.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.00%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -9.42%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:26
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.61%EV -6.30%E -2.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.79%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 18:10
Betsson🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.50%EV -5.45%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.37%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.50%EV -5.45%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.37%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 18:26
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:10
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 18:26
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -7.57%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.19%EV -11.30%E -3.99%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 18:24
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.84%E -4.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.84%E -4.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.19%EV -13.50%E -6.62%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.19%EV -13.50%E -6.62%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.44%EV -14.35%E -7.11%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 18:05
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.92%EV -0.954%E -0.302%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -15.20%E -7.60%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -7.54%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -15.20%E -7.60%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -7.54%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 18:05
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 18:20
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.60%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:20
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.84%E -4.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 18:10
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.84%E -4.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 18:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.72%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.84%E -4.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.73%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.94%EV -10.11%E -4.77%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.53%EV -11.61%E -4.12%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.96%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -13.08%E -6.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 18:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%0.3%2026-08-28 18:26
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-28 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-28 18:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-28 18:26
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%0.9%2026-08-28 18:20
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%1.9%2026-08-28 18:26