Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genclerbirligi SK v Amed SK

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC

Final: Genclerbirligi SK 2–2 Amed SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -0.693%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.77%36.59%36.57%38.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.532.552.7044.44%39.55%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amed SK (Visit)

Prediction 36.77%2.72fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.66%36.85%36.75%38.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.6744.44%40.00%40.00%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%26.57%26.68%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.503.6531.25%29.21%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genclerbirligi SK (Local): 36.60%; Amed SK (Visit): 36.77%; Draw: 26.62%. For Genclerbirligi SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -1.18%E -0.437%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 08:40
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.05%EV -1.54%E -0.574%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -8.80%E -3.55%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 10:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.91%EV -9.17%E -3.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -9.90%E -4.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 07:09
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.05%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -1.81%E -0.678%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 08:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 18:45
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.39%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -3.28%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -3.28%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 11:50
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.90%E -4.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 20:29
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.90%E -4.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 20:28
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -11.74%E -4.89%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-05 10:30
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 04:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-05 10:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 18:50
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 18:49
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -7.77%E -3.08%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -7.33%E -2.91%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -7.35%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 04:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.77%EV -7.77%E -3.08%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -16.15%E -7.08%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.80%EV -12.94%E -3.96%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-02 00:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.07%EV -8.13%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.35%EV -5.86%E -2.29%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 18:00
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.90%E -4.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.47%E -4.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.47%E -4.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.47%E -4.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 18:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -13.58%E -5.78%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-04 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.23%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.47%E -4.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -10.33%E -4.22%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 18:06
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -10.33%E -4.22%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -6.22%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 00:05
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -10.33%E -4.22%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -15.42%E -6.70%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -14.80%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-22 11:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.31%EV -11.43%E -4.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.07%EV -12.84%E -5.42%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-04 18:04
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -11.79%E -4.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.97%EV -5.49%E -2.14%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 18:06
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.16%E -5.07%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.89%E -5.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.06%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-04 18:05
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.26%EV -13.26%E -5.59%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.98%EV -7.33%E -2.91%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.76%EV -6.28%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 18:06
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.99%EV -13.99%E -5.95%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.59%EV -17.26%E -7.67%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.43%EV -14.80%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-04 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.72%EV -17.65%E -7.84%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -13.58%E -5.78%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-04 10:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 35.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.49%15.5%2026-10-05 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.43%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.14%167.1%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.43%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.14%167.1%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%176.1%2026-10-05 10:00