Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Trabzonspor

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Prediction 24.71%4.05fair odd
EV +4.01%
Edge +0.952%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.07%24.57%24.91%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.704.2130.30%27.05%27.03%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trabzonspor (Visit)

Prediction 49.05%2.04fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.946%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.77%49.18%48.83%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.891.912.0059.88%52.86%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.581%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.17%26.25%26.26%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.523.553.7532.79%28.41%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 24.71%; Trabzonspor (Visit): 49.05%; Draw: 26.24%. For Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.95%EV +4.01%E +0.952%K +1.25%G +0.050%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +3.76%E +0.896%K +1.18%G +0.044%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 12:40
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +3.76%E +0.896%K +1.18%G +0.044%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV +1.29%E +0.315%K +0.417%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.70%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.78%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV +1.29%E +0.315%K +0.417%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.70%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.78%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 12:39
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV +1.29%E +0.315%K +0.417%G +0.005%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 12:39
1xBet🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 23.84%EV +0.551%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.28%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -1.60%E -0.426%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 12:45
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -1.18%E -0.295%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 12:39
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -1.18%E -0.295%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:43
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -1.18%E -0.295%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:44
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -1.18%E -0.295%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -11.70%E -6.50%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 12:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -2.66%E -0.675%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.27%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.63%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 12:44
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 12:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 12:44
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:09
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -11.70%E -6.50%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 12:40
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -1.60%E -0.426%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 12:39
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.63%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:40
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.63%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:44
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -18.08%E -10.83%K -26.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -16.03%E -5.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-22 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 12:39
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:30
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.88%EV -17.59%E -10.47%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.47%EV -19.97%E -6.55%K -9.74%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-22 12:40
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-22 12:44
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-22 12:39
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.30%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -12.79%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.81%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 12:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 12:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.70%E -6.50%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-22 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -14.77%E -4.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -1.89%E -0.946%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -14.77%E -4.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -1.89%E -0.946%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 12:29
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:30
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:30
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:30
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:30
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.53%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 12:29
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.85%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -9.74%E -5.29%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -18.47%E -5.60%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 12:29
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -18.47%E -5.60%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -18.47%E -5.60%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-02-22 12:45
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-02-22 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-02-22 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-02-22 12:40
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-02-22 12:44