Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.74
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 4.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 15.23%; Fenerbahce (Visit): 63.71%; Draw: 21.06%. For Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.28%EV +2.66%E +0.394%K +0.463%G +0.012% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.03%EV -5.71%E -3.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.70%EV -2.09%E -0.449%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.07%EV +2.05%E +0.306%K +0.360%G +0.007% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.99%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV -0.997%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.63%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV -0.997%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.63%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -0.997%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-14 16:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.997%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.71%E -3.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.997%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.71%E -3.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.997%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.93%EV -6.98%E -4.78%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -9.46%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -0.997%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -8.89%E -6.22%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.93%EV -2.06%E -0.321%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.98%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -4.19%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -2.52%E -0.394%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.03%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.49%EV -13.25%E -3.22%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -2.52%E -0.394%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.03%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.49%EV -13.25%E -3.22%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.80%E -0.769%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -5.57%E -0.898%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.13%EV -6.33%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -6.98%E -4.78%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.07I 16.47%NM 15.84%EV -7.55%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.45%EV -1.88%E -1.22%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.71%EV -6.72%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.71%E -3.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.71%E -3.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.71%E -3.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.71%E -3.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.71%E -3.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.46%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.80%E -7.72%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.61%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.80%E -7.72%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -10.14%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -8.89%E -6.22%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.41%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -11.66%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.67%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -11.66%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.67%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -11.66%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.52%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.67%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -11.66%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.52%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.67%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -11.66%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -8.89%E -6.22%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -13.67%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.42%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.78%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.42%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.78%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.42%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.78%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.42%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.78%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -13.18%E -2.31%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.09%EV -8.89%E -6.22%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.65%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |