The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Fenerbahce v Goztepe

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 16:01 UTC

Final: Fenerbahce 1–2 Goztepe

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce (Local)

Prediction 62.39%1.60fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.08%62.54%62.36%65.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.451.5772.46%68.21%68.97%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Goztepe (Visit)

Prediction 17.07%5.86fair odd
EV +9.40%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.163%

assuming max odds 6.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.87%16.99%17.12%19.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.535.506.4123.81%18.08%18.18%15.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.54%4.87fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.538%
Kelly +0.673%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.03%20.47%20.51%22.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.544.505.0027.03%22.03%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 62.39%; Goztepe (Visit): 17.07%; Draw: 20.54%. For Goztepe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.86. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.75%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.87%EV +9.40%E +1.47%K +1.74%G +0.163%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.38%EV +1.05%E +0.213%K +0.268%G +0.003%4.9%2026-10-31 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.62%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV +5.82%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV +2.69%E +0.538%K +0.673%G +0.018%5.1%2026-10-31 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.62%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV +5.82%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV +2.69%E +0.538%K +0.673%G +0.018%5.1%2026-10-31 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.47%E -0.738%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 15:55
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:51
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:51
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:51
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:50
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.40%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.42%E -0.295%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -1.01%E -0.174%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -1.86%E -0.324%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 15:50
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -2.72%E -0.477%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -2.72%E -0.477%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.55%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 15:09
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.69%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.24%EV -4.42%E -0.790%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.07%EV -1.21%E -0.252%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 15:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.42%E -0.790%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.52%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 15:20
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -4.42%E -0.790%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.63%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -11.40%E -8.03%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.790%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -5.52%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 15:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -11.40%E -8.03%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.790%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -5.52%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -11.40%E -8.03%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.790%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -5.52%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 15:51
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.64%EV -5.11%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%EV -10.66%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 15:51
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.61%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.10%EV -5.62%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.29%EV -4.29%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 15:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.54%E -2.97%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -6.13%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 15:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.54%E -2.97%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -6.13%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -6.13%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -5.52%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.54%E -2.97%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.13%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -9.63%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.13%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 15:51
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.13%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -12.71%E -2.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 15:51
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -6.13%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.07%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.20%EV -13.90%E -10.07%K -36.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.11%EV -6.13%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 15:50
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -2.04%E -1.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.54%EV -6.64%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 15:55
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.84%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.63%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.84%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.63%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.35%EV -11.40%E -8.03%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.84%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.94%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -9.54%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.52%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 15:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -10.40%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.44%E -0.514%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -10.40%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -10.40%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.74%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 15:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.66%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -11.25%E -2.16%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.58%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.16%EV -11.40%E -8.03%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -12.96%E -2.54%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -11.68%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 16:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.66%E -2.93%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.63%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.66%E -2.93%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.63%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.66%E -2.93%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.63%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.66%E -2.93%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.66%E -2.93%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.66%E -2.93%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.66%E -2.93%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.74%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.03%EV -16.37%E -3.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -13.74%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 15:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 58.08%EV -11.40%E -8.03%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.64%EV -28.32%E -6.74%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.29%EV -24.01%E -6.49%K -8.89%G +0.000%21.3%2026-10-31 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.98%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-10-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-10-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-10-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-10-31 15:55
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-10-31 15:55
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%1.6%2026-10-31 15:55